HYLD News and Press, High Yield From 11/03/21

The recent run higher in the Sharpe ratio for the Global Market Index finally reversed in October. Risk-adjusted performance has slipped, but GMI's rebound in October lifted it to a new record high. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio de...

The long-run risk premium forecast for the Global Market Index (GMI) rebounded in October, edging up to 6.1%, based on revised numbers through last month. The new estimate is calculated in terms of the projected return over the “risk-free” rate, according to a risk-based...

US real estate investment trusts (REITs) and stocks posted the strongest returns for the major asset classes in October - by wide margins. US REITs surged 7.7% last month, reversing September’s sharp decline. The recovery puts American property shares in the lead for 2021 with ...

Consensus remains cautiously positive on the economic and market outlook for the coming year, but for the first time in 18 months, we have started trimming risk in our views, advocating building dry powder to take advantage of opportunities that arise due to potential short-term market vo...

When facing a rising-rate environment, investors who can’t stomach too much risk should limit - but not eliminate - duration, or sensitivity to interest-rate changes. Investors shouldn’t just shorten their portfolio’s duration; they should get a chunk of it from a...

As we move into Q4, markets are in a tug-of-war involving various good news vs. bad news debates. COVID-19 cases are declining, but central banks are considering tightening monetary policy. Earnings growth is strong, but year-over-year comparisons will become tougher. Employment stati...

The strong economic and market trends of the first half of 2021 wavered during the third quarter. The coronavirus delta variant caught up with the US at the height of the summer, just as vaccinations slowed and concerns grew that inflation might flare and persist. Even so, equity mark...

September was a difficult month for stocks and interest rates, but U.S. high yield proved to be an exception. A common refrain cites U.S. corporate debt at record levels compared to the size of the economy. Currently, investment-grade bonds often start with negative real or even n...

The supply of new Treasury debt should average at least $1.5 trillion a year over the next 5 years. Household debt growth is also likely to soar, both mortgage and unsecured debt. At current interest rates, investor demand doesn't seem nearly sufficient to fund the total of $4 tri...

Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in September for the Global Market Index (GMI), an unmanaged, market-value-weighted portfolio that holds all the major asset classes (except cash). GMI’s 0.97 Sharpe ratio is close to the highest levels reached in recent history. ...