JHML News and Press, John Hancock Multifactor Large Cap From 04/11/24

2024-04-11 08:50:00 ET Summary Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, which has seen some progress underneath the surface despite not having any indicator changes. If you look at co...

2024-04-11 06:50:00 ET Summary The jobs market is unlikely to lead to a recession in 2024. Wage growth continues to trend lower, while a spike in unemployment that would trigger a recession appears unlikely from here. In fact, the leading indicators of employment growth sugges...

2024-04-08 07:25:00 ET Summary The real story of the last three years is that commodities and large cap stocks are the only major asset classes providing returns for a diversified investor. Small- and mid-cap value stocks have produced better returns but haven’t kept up wit...

2024-04-04 14:20:00 ET Summary The broadest measure of economic activity, growth in real GDP, slowed in the fourth quarter. The U-3 unemployment rate has edged higher from last April (3.4 percent) to February (3.9 percent). In a no-landing scenario, the unemployment rate would...

2024-03-28 09:35:00 ET Summary In the US 2024 presidential elections, President Biden will stand for re-election, while former President Trump will challenge him. Several notable third-party (or “no-label”) candidates will also be on many state ballots and could prove di...

2024-03-19 17:30:00 ET Summary The odds the U.S. economy will see a recession start sometime in the next twelve months continued to rise during the past six weeks. The prospect for a recession has ticked up since bottoming largely because the inversion of the U.S. Treasury curve d...

2024-03-18 11:15:00 ET Summary Over the last two years, the evolution of the US economy has been driven by a return to “normal”. The change in cash levels at the household level were large and have proved more persistent than most expected. At the end of last yea...

2024-03-13 10:50:00 ET Summary The combination of the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index and the yield curve has been warning of imminent recession since September 2023. The March 2024 new high for the SPX suggests that a recession will not start any sooner than May 2024. By o...

2024-03-08 04:50:00 ET Summary In the last four months, we’ve seen quite a bit of change to the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, with four indicators moving from recessionary red to yellow caution. We still think that the odds of a recession are 40% as the historical p...

2024-03-08 04:50:00 ET Summary From 2009 to 2021, the large caps in the S&P 500 and the small caps in the Russell 2000 moved more or less in lock-step. We are seeing a similar divergence in U.S. labor market data as well with a huge gap developing between two different surveys...