OILX News and Press, UBS AG London Branch ZC SP ETRACS REDEEM 22/02/2046 USD 25 - Ser B From 01/09/23

Summary Oil prices have kickstarted 2023 with their worst decline since 1991. With at least one-third of the global economy set to be in a recession this year, including the US, demand will continue to be suppressed. This could mitigate the expected demand boost from China. It a...

Summary I expect traditional fossil fuel energy companies to continue to excel, rising to up to 30% of the S&P 500 in the upcoming years as technology stocks continue to shrink. After the most aggressive series of rate hikes in decades, inflation is finally moderating. Whether or no...

Summary For 40 years, steadily declining inflation and interest rates buoyed equity returns. That changed abruptly last year. Investors must now adjust expectations to a new macroeconomic and market landscape that will require a fresh mindset to reach long-term goals. By...

Summary Today’s high prices may well lead to tomorrow’s low prices, and tomorrow may arrive sooner than many feared. Asynchronous reopening is set to bedevil the global economy for at least another year. Broad housing market activity during much of 2022 suggests that w...

Summary U.S. October production increased by 69 kb/d to 12,381 kb/d to a new post pandemic high. Production in October 2023 is forecast to be lower than in October 2022. The big production increase in conventional crude in August 2022 is due to the massive downward revision to LTO p...

Summary All the positive sales and earnings forecasted are concentrated in the top 15% of all stocks that I monitor. In other words, institutional buying pressure is focused on fewer stocks than normal. Energy stocks are big winners in 2022. In addition to high energy prices, the buying...

Summary Much of Wall Street will be taking off this week. It will be a week filled with lots of economic readings. There will be no earnings and no Fed speak. By Ed Moya US Thin trading conditions could persist as much of Wall Street will be taking off th...

Summary Global economic uncertainty continues to be high, and downside risks are rising in most Asian and European countries due to the inability to fight inflation effectively despite ongoing monetary tightening. Given the sanctions imposed, Russian oil and gas companies have practical...

Summary While falling commodity prices signal potential easing in inflation, it’s not necessarily a good sign. That’s because assets peak in a predictable order: bonds, stocks, and then commodities. Crude Oil has fallen to the lowest level in over a year, suffering a weekl...

Summary 1 or more years of additional interest-rate duration in ‘23 vs. ‘22, to be grown over time: As central banks slow, or pause, their tightening cycles, in sympathy with slowing economic growth and inflation. 6% to 6.5% of portfolio carry potential (including anticipa...