OPER News and Press, ETF Series Solutions ClearShares Ultra-Short Maturity From 04/18/23

2023-04-18 10:51:00 ET Summary The vast “cash hoard of 2023” has the bullish media salivating about what it means for the future of equities. That cash hoard in money market funds now exceeds $5.2 trillion. With net exposure to equities by professional and retail inv...

2023-04-18 05:00:00 ET Summary U.S. Bank loans and leases declined by $105 billion in the two weeks following the banking system disruption, suggesting some downward pressure ahead for the U.S. economy. A plus 1% spread between the 1-year and the 10-year is a sign of a meaningfull...

2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET Summary A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years. In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll re...

2023-04-11 02:36:00 ET Summary We’ve seen the worst of the yield curve inversions but I don’t think it tells you a whole lot about the future course of the stock market. Bonds rallied last week as interest rates fell with the 3-7 year Treasury index up a little over ...

2023-04-07 09:34:00 ET Summary Over the 47-year period since 1975, value stocks with high ROE ratios outperformed the value universe of stocks for the one-year period after the curve first inverts by an average of 4.8%. When spreads are narrow and begin to widen, we are in the Bro...

2023-04-06 03:53:00 ET Summary For months, I have been pointing to clear signs that monetary policy has become tight enough to make a difference in people's behavior. A pronounced steepening of the yield curve is the market's way of telling the Fed that they are going to have to c...

2023-04-04 08:00:00 ET Summary A yield curve inversion is caused by a large decline in the monetary inflation rate. There is no sign of an upward reversal in the monetary inflation rate. As long as monetary conditions as indicated by the monetary inflation rate are still tight...

2023-04-02 04:50:00 ET Summary We’ve talked a lot over the years about the shape of the yield curve, how that is a market signal, how that is telling us something about the future, about potential asset market returns. What’s our thoughts? US debt is considered the r...

2023-04-01 05:31:00 ET Summary The Fed added a gargantuan sum to its balance sheet in March, netting an increase of $324B. As the Fed defines it, the balance sheet increase in March was not QE because it did not buy Treasuries. The inverted yield curve is the clearest sign a r...

2023-03-29 13:25:00 ET Summary The economy continued to grow in March, with inflation still unacceptably high, and the Federal Reserve tightening further. A solid job market is the most important factor for consumer spending. Despite this, February retail sales dipped by 0.4 perce...