RWM News and Press, ProShares Short Russell2000 From 11/02/23

2023-11-02 21:00:00 ET Summary Due to rapid government spending, inventory building by the private sector and about $500B coming out of the Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility, US ‘real’ GDP grew at an annualised rate of almost 5% in Q3-2023. It has been known for a f...

2023-10-31 14:50:00 ET Summary Since July, the probability of a recession starting sometime in the next 12 months has declined. However, the U.S. treasury yield curve is still inverted and the probability of recession remains elevated. The Recession Probability Track indicates...

2023-10-27 07:45:00 ET Summary Following the September FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve reiterated its higher for longer mantra and upgraded its economic forecast to include a no recession scenario. If the average delay between the final rate increase and recession is 11 months, ...

2023-10-20 04:30:00 ET Summary Rising inflation precedes recessions, and monetary policy actions are pro-cyclical rather than counter-cyclical. The combination of fiscal stimulus and monetary expansion has resulted in negative net national saving, which will impair economic growth...

2023-10-19 10:30:00 ET Summary While the US economy has been resilient this year, the lagged effects of tightening are likely still to come. Inflation expectations, credit spreads, corporate credit, employment, and housing aren’t in recession territory. The yield curve,...

2023-10-18 20:55:00 ET Summary With all the attention given to the recent surge in Treasury (UST) yields, there has been an interesting by-product in the process: steepening yield curves. Remember when inverted yield curves were all the rage, and their historical track record was ...

2023-10-18 12:30:00 ET Summary The global outlook is being troubled by rising rates, oil prices and the U.S. dollar, resulting in investor risk aversion. Spiking bond yields are challenging the equity market’s soft landing assumption. With limited prospect of an upgrade to ...

2023-10-16 23:40:00 ET Summary The U.S. Federal Reserve has undertaken aggressive interest rate hikes in a bid to bring inflation back down to its target. In late 2022, many forecasters were warning of elevated recession risks in the near-term outlook (approximately 12-18 months a...

2023-10-14 03:55:00 ET Summary The risk of a crisis event in the economy is increasing, as the Fed’s "higher for longer" narrative is compromised by lagging economic data. The yield curve inversions occur roughly 10-24 months before a recession or crisis event. This is beca...

2023-10-13 04:00:00 ET Summary In the US economy, there’s been quite a bit of optimistic chatter focused on this idea of a soft landing. When you think about investing and mountain climbing, they’re both judged by the ability to move higher. Dividend growers tend...