RWM News and Press, ProShares Short Russell2000 From 05/05/22

The 10-year vs. two-year US Treasury yield curve momentarily inverted, and many are worried about the negative signals this may send for risk assets and the economy at large. Under normal conditions, the yield-curve trends upward as duration increases; longer-term bonds offer more yie...

Market commentary I have been seeing has had an unusual split: warnings about the collapse of the bond market, as well as imminent recession. The preliminary report for U.S. Q1 real GDP was released last week, which registered an annualised decline of -1.4%. Although there are som...

Long-term success is rarely achieved without some suffering. The S&P 500 is already off -14% from its highest levels experienced at the beginning of the year. Panic is rarely a profitable strategy, so now is probably not the best time to knee-jerk react to the price declines. ...

The expected risk premium continued sliding in April for the Global Markets Index (GMI). Tuesday’s revision reflects a drop to a 5.4% annualized increase for the long term – a relatively large cut of 40 basis points from last month’s estimate. The forecast ref...

Friday, the market woke up to think about the realities of a recession suddenly staring back at them from the mirror. That ugly truth will remain in front of them, regardless of what the Fed does. It took no change in the news at all to completely knock the exuberant market down i...

The stagflation scenario got a little more traction last week with the release of a negative Q1 GDP print on Thursday and hints of more inflation on Friday. April was a really rotten month with everything down but the general commodity indexes. Investing is mostly an exercise in s...

As Q1’s third-highest inventory accumulation follows Q4’s record-high accumulation, the fact it was less, if still huge, when compared to the prior three months counts as a reduction to overall GDP. As has been the case since the last recession, spending on goods may be ...

Analyst consensus estimates now put the net income of S&P 500 companies as a whole at 4.3% year-on-year growth in Q1. But with inflation running at a 7.9% pace, that means that in real terms, earnings growth is now negative. Strip out the effect of the spike in the energy sector's...

There’s a growing list of potential threats to the economy. Although growth has slowed over the past two months, the current rate of expansion continues to reflect above-average strength. The US economy is slowing, but recession risk is still low. For further details ...

Historically, a recession followed when 50% or more of the tracked yield curves became inverted. Every time. Interestingly, many of the data points suggesting the “economy is booming” are lagging indicators subject to significant negative revisions in the future. Eve...