RYE News and Press, Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy From 03/15/22

We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop. Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week, as oil prices came off highs. The European Central Bank a...

The U.S. ban on imports of Russian crude oil is effective immediately, while Britain said they will phase out Russian crude oil imports by the end of this year - meaning 9+ months of phased withdrawal. Europe is “hooked” on Russian energy, so Germany has come out against...

Inflation and its implications for real economic growth are the main portfolio positioning consideration of the conflict in Ukraine. On the 8th of March, the U.S. sanctioned Russian energy imports, giving companies 45 days to comply. Higher commodity prices are not the only factor...

The yield curve has flattened considerably and the spread between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield is currently just 25 basis points. Many of the large, popular stocks are still grossly overvalued in my opinion. Value stocks continue to outperform. For further details s...

U.S. consumer price index jumps 7.9% in February. ECB announces earlier end to quantitative-easing program. Oil prices surge as Russia-Ukraine war roils energy markets. For further details see: Energy Prices Soar Amid Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

Agricultural commodities have seen an unprecedented surge in prices since the war in Ukraine broke out. Oil prices and, particularly in Europe, the natural gas price, impact energy costs. Current events are driving commodity prices. For further details see: Could Oil Pri...

Events in Europe were seen as boosting global inflationary pressures and complicating supply chain disruptions. US producers are beginning to feel the effects of the inflationary environment via higher input costs. Most commodities are trading above the marginal cost of supply and...

Traders are betting Brent prices will cross $200 while U.S. energy import ban on Russia will likely find no other major nation joining suit. U.S. extraction and refining capacity seem to have a shortfall relative to domestic consumption. Analysis for a choice between clean energy ...

Should oil and gas prices remain at these elevated levels, energy issuers will be able to achieve their debt reduction targets in an accelerated timeframe. Improved capital discipline by management teams is leading companies to reinvest a lower percentage of their cash flow, allowing ...

With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine into its second week, the economic fallout is gradually coming into focus. In our view, it is highly likely that economic growth will slow in the US and globally, but less so in the U.S. We expect market volatility to remain elevated for an...