SCHX News and Press, Schwab U.S. Large-Cap From 05/02/22

The stagflation scenario got a little more traction last week with the release of a negative Q1 GDP print on Thursday and hints of more inflation on Friday. April was a really rotten month with everything down but the general commodity indexes. Investing is mostly an exercise in s...

As Q1’s third-highest inventory accumulation follows Q4’s record-high accumulation, the fact it was less, if still huge, when compared to the prior three months counts as a reduction to overall GDP. As has been the case since the last recession, spending on goods may be ...

Analyst consensus estimates now put the net income of S&P 500 companies as a whole at 4.3% year-on-year growth in Q1. But with inflation running at a 7.9% pace, that means that in real terms, earnings growth is now negative. Strip out the effect of the spike in the energy sector's...

There’s a growing list of potential threats to the economy. Although growth has slowed over the past two months, the current rate of expansion continues to reflect above-average strength. The US economy is slowing, but recession risk is still low. For further details ...

Historically, a recession followed when 50% or more of the tracked yield curves became inverted. Every time. Interestingly, many of the data points suggesting the “economy is booming” are lagging indicators subject to significant negative revisions in the future. Eve...

We believe the conflict in Ukraine may turn out to be less critical for equity markets than the upcoming turn we anticipate in the economic growth cycle. In the near term, we expect the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) to continue to recover from its March trough. We expect the dis...

With the rising interest rate-driven rotation out of the technology sector, the SCHX Large-Cap ETF is down ~9% YTD, which is ~1% worse than the S&P500. However, I'm not in the camp that believes a rise in interest rates to still-historically low levels means doom for the large-cap...

As the largest bank in the U.S., we can use the company's earnings call to look for clues as to how the economy is doing and whether or not a recession is coming. The results appear to be mostly encouraging. In addition, we go over why investors shouldn't jump into JPM just yet. ...

Considering the headline index is only a couple of points above the pandemic low, last month’s reading is only in the 16th percentile of all months on record going back to the start of the report in 1986. Plans to increase employment have pulled back significantly from pandemic...

Mortgage News Daily reported that the average 30-year mortgage topped 5% late last week (almost double the rates on offer back in late-2020). Debt servicing costs have skyrocketed over the last year, which will pressure economic growth in the coming quarters, according to historical t...