SDS News and Press, ProShares UltraShort S&P500 From 07/24/23

2023-07-24 21:30:00 ET Summary The main factors lifting the market during the week were positive bank earnings reports and additional data indicating tamer-than-previously expected inflation. Investors however remain focused on 2023-Q4 after having set their forward-looking attent...

2023-07-24 06:13:43 ET Summary The yield curve, which looks at the spread between the 10-year treasury note and the year bill, has been an excellent predictor of coming recessions since 1960, with only one error made in the mid-1960s. Despite its strong track record, the yield cur...

2023-07-24 05:37:00 ET Summary Markets assume that a 25 bps rate increase at the FOMC’s meeting next Wednesday will wrap up the Fed’s tightening cycle. The S&P 500 increased 0.7% (up 18.1% y-t-d), and the Dow jumped 2.1% (up 6.3%). Federal Reserve Credit decl...

2023-07-23 09:15:00 ET Summary Despite resilient U.S. growth, the foundations have been laid for a short and shallow recession later this year. Notably, as a U.S. recession will likely be short and shallow, any equity pullback will likely be short and shallow. The following recove...

2023-07-22 05:40:00 ET Summary We’ve been anticipating a recession for some time, but I believe the US economy is too strong to experience one this year. Core inflation has been stubbornly high, but I expect it to fall as the impact of flattening home prices makes its way i...

2023-07-22 05:13:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has tightened monetary policy significantly over the first half of this year, with a high likelihood of another 25-basis-point hike in the federal funds rate at the end of July. Until now, market agents have mostly ignored politic...

2023-07-21 22:54:00 ET Summary Lower real return: after factoring in inflation and taxes, the real return of a money market is much lower than investors may expect. Lower long-term performance: longer-term government bonds, corporate bonds, and stocks have historically returned mo...

2023-07-19 09:02:00 ET Summary Although central banks slashed benchmark rates to zero by December 2008 and pumped unprecedented liquidity (QE), financial markets tanked until March 2009. The US Fed will likely pause its tightening efforts soon. But the economic cycle and stock mar...

2023-07-19 06:36:00 ET Summary Nasdaq’s plan to reconfigure the weights of its constituents should prompt investors to think about the broader concentration risks in US equity markets, particularly in passive portfolios. Concentration risks extend beyond Nasdaq. The broader...

2023-07-19 04:54:00 ET Summary The yield curve is the difference between the current 10-year T-Note yield and the 2-Year T-Note yield. The Fed Funds Rate is the rate the Fed sets on overnight money to establish the demand for money necessary to get inflation to its 2% target. ...