STPP News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ILN REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A From 07/04/19

By Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department; Rohit Goel, Financial Sector Expert in IMF’s Monetary and Capital Markets Department; Fabio M. Natalucci, a Deputy Director of Monetary and Capital Markets Department The slope of t...

On the heels of the Osaka trade truce struck between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping over the weekend, investors got the relief rally they were looking for on Monday. Gains were especially pronounced in tech and chip stocks, which surged thanks to the Trump administration's softer approach to the ...

Review & Update On Thursday and Friday, the markets mustered a "Pre-G20 rally" in anticipation of a positive outcome from the meeting between President Trump and Xi. I will discuss the outcome of this meeting in just a moment. The good news is that June was one of the best-performing...

President Trump and President Xi are meeting in Osaka as I write. We'll know much more in the morning. Pre-meeting reports had the two sides agreeing to a "truce." Heading into the meeting, President Trump said progress was made in Friday trade talk preparations, as he seeks to "even it up" on...

On Wednesday, Goldman slashed their G10 yield forecasts for 2019 and the revisions were pretty dramatic . For instance, the bank now sees 10-year German yields at -0.55% by year-end and 10-year JGB yields at -0.30%. The bank's outlook is well below market forwards. To a certain extent, ...

If you have nothing left, it can sound like a winning argument, but you have to really try hard enough. In October 2015, with another false dawn dawning on the public, former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke wrote and op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal . As had become his habit...

The 10-year Treasury rate has fallen below 2.0% for the first time since November 2016, blowing through the bearish reasons to "short" bonds at the last "blow-off" top. As I have outlined in many of my past research notes, the driving factors behind US Treasury rates are credit risk, ...

QE trade "animal spirits" were back with a vengeance on Thursday, following yet another dovish surprise from the Fed. Let me just say, right off the bat, that there is no "Cliffs Notes" version of this. I'm going to hit the high points for readers on this platform, but it isn't possible to ...

Earlier this year, I penned a research note detailing a data-driven approach to measuring recession risk. You can read that note from February by clicking here . In that note, which you should read prior to this note if you have not done so, I outline the official definition of a recessi...

Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...