UDN News and Press, Invesco DB USD Index Bearish From 06/12/24

2024-06-12 23:35:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept rates unchanged at the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, marking the seventh consecutive meeting with no action on the rate front. The Fed’s revised outlook now projects one rate cut for this yea...

2024-06-12 23:05:00 ET Summary May's CPI report came in softer than expected, delivering a positive sign that recent months of sticky inflation may have been just a bump in the road. Headline CPI inflation eased from 0.3% in April to 0.0% in May, a significant milestone following ...

2024-06-12 14:00:00 ET Summary In May 2024, the AIER Everyday Price Index was essentially unchanged at an index level of 290.9. The largest monthly price increases were seen in food away from home, prescription drugs, and tobacco/smoking products. The share of prices rising ab...

2024-06-12 11:25:00 ET Summary A surprise 0.2% MoM core CPI inflation print after a similar reading for April core PCE deflator offers good news for the Fed in its fight to ease price pressures. This needs to become the trend after a series of far too hot readi...

2024-06-12 07:15:00 ET Summary Position adjustments ahead of today's US CPI and FOMC meeting are giving the dollar a modestly heavier tone today. Led by Central Europe, most emerging market currencies are firmer too. The 10-year US Treasury yield is a little softer and has sli...

2024-06-11 10:50:00 ET Summary Consumers are experiencing the impact of rising inflation, particularly in the grocery sector, leading to a shift in consumer sentiment and the need to reassess budgets. Major retailers like Target and Walgreens are addressing consumer concerns by an...

2024-06-11 08:10:00 ET Summary We've been tracking a recession forecast model developed for the Federal Reserve Board by Jonathan Wright in 2006, which utilizes the U.S. Treasury yield curve as an input, while also factoring in the level of the Federal Fund Rate. In following mont...

2024-06-11 07:30:00 ET Summary The US dollar is firm against all the G10 currencies, except for sterling. Most emerging market currencies are lower, including the Mexican peso, which has become unhinged amid heightened political uncertainty. European bonds, especially French b...

2024-06-10 10:00:00 ET Summary The employment report released last Friday offered contradictory views of the state of the economy. If we look at some of the other labor data available to us, like the JOLTS survey that was also released last week, a picture of a softening labor mar...

2024-06-10 07:25:00 ET Summary With mixed elements, the market took the US jobs data as relatively strong and took the dollar and US rates higher. The EU Parliament election has shaken up European politics, with the Belgium government collapsing and French President Macron calling...