USLB News and Press, Invesco Russell 1000 Low Beta Equal Weight ETF From 02/21/23

Summary Too many are taking the perspective that the market is wrong of late because it is rallying in the face of bad news. If you ignore the news and focus on market sentiment, you will be able to track the market in a much clearer manner. I outline my expectations, support, and t...

Summary The market can't catch a break; even when the equity market is closed, more inflation data is announced. Used auto prices have risen by more than 4%, thus far in February. The bull's dream of immaculate disinflation is officially dead at this rate. Another blow to ...

Summary The last year has been a tough one for investors but the frustration actually extends back further than just 2022. Interest rates and the dollar were both higher for the second straight week but no trends were changed. The economic data has been stronger than expected and we...

Summary The long leading indicators have a record over many decades of forecasting downturns in the economy 1 year or more early. This series of 8 indicators turned negative 1 year ago, giving rise to a “Recession Watch” beginning this Quarter. Updated through January,...

Summary Good news will be bad news, as well as bad news being bad news. I think the Fed will only ease up when we see the economy crashing. Then we should be worried about more than our stocks. The Fed’s message is higher for longer, when will the rate rise stop? It coul...

Summary As anticipated, year-over-year earnings growth for stocks in the S&P 500 has flatlined and dipped into negative territory based on 4Q 2022 earnings reports. During earnings downturns, despite the potential for further earnings weakness, markets have historically responded wi...

Summary While markets have been appropriately very focused on inflation data and interest rate decisions, there are other issues that warrant attention from investors. Congress ultimately had to pass complex legislation to secure those votes. There are reasons to prepare for another...

Summary The narrative is shifting and the rally is stalling. Is this healthy consolidation or is the S&P 500 rolling over into another large decline? Key technical levels to watch in the S&P 500 in the week ahead. For further details see: S&P 50...

Summary Fed minutes will be released on Wednesday, February 22. Hot economy data suggest the Fed is nowhere close to pausing its rate hiking cycle. That means that rates will be even higher than previously thought. This week's Fed minutes could reveal a few surprises to in...

Summary Data this week confirmed both that disinflation is not running wild and that the US economy is not falling off a cliff. At 0.5%, January's CPI increase was the strongest in three months (in line with expectations). But with revisions, YoY consumer inflation of 6.4% was higher th...