VCIT News and Press, Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF From 02/06/23

Summary Fisher’s 13F portfolio value increased from ~$133B to ~$148B in Q4 2022. They increased Advanced Micro Devices, Lam Research, and Intuit while decreasing Nvidia, Meta Platforms, PayPal Holdings, and Broadcom. The top three positions are Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon. T...

Summary If 2022 was an unsettling year for equities, as I noted in my second data post, it was an even more tumultuous year for the bond market. If the question is why interest rates rose a lot in 2022, and if your answer to that question is the Fed, you have, in my view, lost the scrip...

Summary Investing can seem like an endless cycle of booms and busts. The correlations among European, Japanese, and emerging market equities as well as US high-yield bonds increased consistently since 1989. According to monthly return data, the average S&P 500 correlations to th...

Summary We don’t see major central bank rate cuts this year, so we prefer to earn income in short-term bonds, high-grade credit and agency mortgage-backed securities. U.S. stocks rose and Treasury yields were mostly steady. U.S. Q4 GDP was resilient but declining consumer spendin...

Summary If central banks are intent on beating inflation even at the expense of worsening the economic slowdown, that is a threat to corporate earnings, and therefore to equity prices. Markets that reward tactical liquidity providers while offering genuinely uncorrelated returns could b...

Summary When the height of the entire Yield Curve is the 6-month Treasury Bill, you know that you are living in some very strange place. There are those that suggest that some kind of “pivot,” by the Fed is on the horizon. I am not in this camp, and do not expect to see th...

Summary 2022 has been a volatile year for credit markets, but a closer inspection highlights some striking differences. Yields on EM HY reached much higher levels (close to 14% at its peak), and spiked much faster, than their Euro and US equivalents, which peaked at around 9% in Q4 2022...

Summary Can the bond market rally last? What the rally in bonds means for the 60/40 portfolio. End of the rate hike cycle in sight? The bond market has started 2023 on a much stronger footing than it was on for much of last year. Greg Bonnell speaks with Scott Colb...

Summary Much of the 2022 flavor of the polycrisis focused on the danger side. But there are opportunities to be explored as well. As we look ahead to 2023, we are at the same time mindful of the potential threats that await and the opportunities that may present themselves as everything...

Summary A brighter outlook for bonds in 2023 should help investors leave the past where it belongs. We think the Fed is nearing the end of its rate hiking cycle, so the coming year is likely to be kinder for bonds. Bonds with lower duration have lower sensitivity to interest rate ch...