VV News and Press, Vanguard Large-Cap From 01/24/24

2024-01-24 01:13:11 ET Summary The global supply chain is facing a potential return to rising inflation due to current events in the shipping sector. Attacks on ships in the Red Sea by Houthi militants are causing significant disruptions to vessel capacity and increasing transport...

2024-01-23 12:22:00 ET Summary The resilience of the US economy in 2023 was a surprise for some economists. An intriguing explanation for why many recession models failed last year: resiliency in residential construction payrolls. Sliding employment in the housing construction...

2024-01-22 15:40:00 ET Summary The General Business Conditions index fell to -43.7, a depth only exceeded by the -78.2 reading in April of 2020 with the economy shut down for COVID. New orders (-49.4 vs -11.3) and shipments (-31.3 vs -6.4) also posted sharp declines and unfilled o...

2024-01-19 10:37:00 ET Summary Economic growth continues to defy expectations of a slowdown and recession due to continued increases in deficit spending. The U.S. Treasury recently reported the December budget deficit, which shows the U.S. collected $429 billion through various ta...

2024-01-19 08:45:00 ET Summary The US 10-year Treasury yield has been below the 3-month yield since November 2022. This rare yield inversion has preceded each recession since 1982, with no false signals. In past cycles, the US Fed stopped hiking when the yield curve inverted, ...

2024-01-17 18:53:00 ET Summary Key questions facing investors in 2024. Why US markets may lag other markets this year. Why inflation is still the northern star for investors. Investors are facing numerous uncertainties in 2024, including the state of the economy and ...

2024-01-17 14:45:00 ET Summary The sharp drop in the New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State business conditions index in January triggered a wave of warnings. The NY Fed Manufacturing Index, as it’s popularly known, is prized as an early read each month on the manuf...

2024-01-15 01:06:19 ET Summary Mean reversion has been observed in various asset classes since 2019, with opportunities for attractive returns in U.S. value, international, emerging markets, natural resources, MLPs, and gold. The large-cap growth sector has defied mean reversion, ...

2024-01-13 01:12:00 ET Summary In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply. By increasing the cost of employing low-wage workers, a higher minimum wage generally leads employers to reduce the size of their w...

2024-01-12 22:35:00 ET Summary Federal Reserve policy rates are set to fall in 2024. However, clear evidence that inflation has been tamed likely needs to emerge before cuts can commence, likely around mid-year. While a smooth landing is still far from certain, rate cuts accompani...