- Many see the large jump in 2021 earnings and extrapolate those gains further into 2022. However, if one looks at the growth rate from 2018 through 2022, it is far lower than prior growth rates.
- We are currently seeing materially lower earnings projections and planned tax increases that will hurt earnings in 2023, which will potentially impact corporate spending in 2022.
- I am trying to focus where possible on looking across the valley of the bear market and likely recession to climbing out of the swamp and beginning the next bull market phase.
For further details see:
Bear Market Accelerating, Prepare For Bull Market - Weekly Blog # 727