2024-07-31 08:40:00 ET
Summary
- The LBMA gold price averaged a record US$2,338/oz in Q2 – 18% higher y/y and 13% higher q/q. Gold reached a new record of US$2,427/oz in May.
- OTC investment of 329t was a significant component of Q2 total gold demand. Together with continued central bank buying, it helped drive the price to a series of record highs during the quarter.
- Total gold supply grew by 4% y/y to 1,258t. Mine production of 929t was a record for a second quarter. Recycling supply was the highest for a second quarter since 2012, responding to the rising gold price.
- Regional investment trends continued to diverge. Demand for bars, coins and ETFs, was robust in the East, compared with a marked decline in the West. Western ETF investment flows have, however, started to return so far in Q3.
- 2024 full year outlook: revived Western investment flows to balance out weaker consumer demand and potentially slower central bank buying vs 2023.
Gold demand firm; record prices prevail
OTC investment and central banks remained decisive
Gold demand excluding OTC in Q2 was down 6% y/y to 929t, as a sharp decline in jewellery consumption outweighed mild gains in all other sectors. Adding in OTC investment to total gold demand yields a 4% y/y increase to 1,258t – the highest Q2 in our data series back to 2000....
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Gold Demand Trends Q2 2024