Gold fell marginally on Friday (November 1) thanks to strong data from China which buoyed investors risk appetite.
Market participants are also awaiting employment data from the United States, hoping to get some color on the impact that the long-drawn trade dispute between the two power house countries has had on the US economy.
“The data out of China is somewhat easing concerns over the global landscape and ultimately reducing appetite for gold,” said Lukman Otunuga, analyst at FXTM.
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Give me my free report!Despite the small downtrend that the yellow metal is facing, it is still garnering support from trade uncertainties and the recent interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve. Otunuga added that the shrinking interest trades and ongoing trade war concerns will support gold in the medium to long term.
On Wednesday (October 30), the Fed cut benchmark funds rate by an additional 25 basis points, with the new range coming in at 1.5 to 1.75 percent. This is the third time this year that interest rates have been slashed, but the Fed alluded that it would be the last for 2019 unless the economy took a sharp turn downward.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited strong jobs data from September, improving relations between China and the US and declining risk of a no-deal Brexit as factors that impacted the committee’s decision.
In a release, the committee noted its mandate of fostering maximum employment and price stability.
“In light of the implications of global developments for the economic outlook as well as muted inflation pressures, the committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to 1-1/2 to 1-3/4 percent,” the missive reads.
Despite being down at the end of the week, gold is set for a weekly gain, and, as of 9:41 a.m. EDT on Friday, gold was trading at US$1,510.80 per ounce.
Silver followed the yellow metal’s lead this week, dipping slightly but continuing to trade over the US$18 per ounce level. Industry insiders continue to believe in the white metal, as the current political and economic climate seems to support it.
“Going forward, prices are seen remaining relatively stable, propped up by a recovery in industrial production next year,” states a recent FocusEconomics report. “The evolution of the US-China trade war will be a key factor to watch in coming months, due to its potential to affect both safe haven and industrial demand.”
As of 9:47 a.m. EDT on Friday, silver was changing hands at US$18.02.
As for the other precious metals, platinum was relatively flat on Friday, but remaining within the US$900 per ounce level.
While platinum continues to take a backseat to its sister metal palladium, the metal continues to trend upwards for the most part thanks to gold’s movements.
“Platinum is also expected to benefit from positive spillovers from gold. However, its sizeable and rising above-ground stocks will remain a key headwind over the rest of 2019 and in 2020,” Metals Focus noted.
As of 10:01 a.m. EDT on Friday, platinum was trading at US$934.
Palladium was once again the star precious metal for the week, hitting an all-time high of US$1,824.50 during Wednesday’s session.
In fact, the metal has rocketed since the start of the year, gaining 43 percent since January.
The larges gains made by the metal have been attributed to stricter environmental regulations around car emissions.
While sales for traditional vehicles are slipping, air quality rules in line with reducing pollution have prompted automakers to increase the amount of palladium used in catalytic converters, which helps vehicles reduce their emissions.
As demand increases from the automotive sector, supply shortfalls are beginning to emerge, giving the spot price a boost on the market.
“There’s just a persistent, continuing shortage of the metal,” Tai Wong, head of base and precious metals derivatives trading at BMO (TSX:BMO,NYSE:BMO), told Reuters.
“The sharp rally does suggest a correction at some stage but the outlook is robust. Palladium could even hit US$2,000 next year; perhaps even higher, but the path is unlikely to be smooth.”
As of 10:09 a.m. EDT on Friday, palladium lost some steam and was trading at US$1,784.
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Securities Disclosure: I, Nicole Rashotte, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.