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2023-11-16 03:55:00 ET Summary The global economic outlook along with market valuations and asset class fundamentals all lead us to favor fixed income. Perhaps the resilient U.S. economy will stave off recession but also drive overheating growth and accelerating inflation that pro...
2023-11-07 09:05:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve's Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey shows banks have tightened lending standards further while households and businesses remain wary of taking on additional borrowing. Given how important credit flow is to the US economy, it make...
2023-11-04 10:00:00 ET Summary Interest rates are higher than pre-COVID 19 and expected to stay high in the long term, which should support yields. Real estate equity prices have fallen since early 2022, so new loan collateral values will likely be lower than previous peaks. P...
2023-10-30 15:25:00 ET Summary Tectonic shifts in the U.S. financial sector are changing the markets for deposits and credit. This is a mega force we see affecting returns now and in the future. U.S. stocks hit five-month lows and 10-year Treasury yields rose above 5% last week. Q...
2023-10-28 02:10:00 ET Summary Holding a tactical allocation to cash is less painful today than in the past due to high short-term interest rates. However, at some point, the Fed will cut rates, which will introduce reinvestment risk for investors holding T-bills. For investor...
2023-10-19 05:05:00 ET Summary Tight lending standards and rising yields, along with concern about an approaching turn in the business cycle, have put opportunistic credit in the spotlight. On the private side, dislocations typically take more time to develop and can last longer, ...
2023-10-12 12:01:00 ET Summary Tight monetary policy is slowing growth, but we see room to avoid a hard landing in the U.S. while Europe and China remain key risks on a global basis. In a higher-for-longer rate environment, shorter maturities offer opportunity, with potential for ...
2023-10-12 01:30:00 ET Summary Bank credit default swaps, which reflect the cost of insuring against losses on bank debt holdings, have risen, maybe in anticipation of Q3 results. In a weakening economy, banks are expected to experience higher delinquencies and charge-offs. In...
2023-09-09 06:15:00 ET Summary AIER's Business Conditions Monthly indicators show mixed results in July 2023, with the Leading Indicator reaching its highest level since June 2021. The Roughly Coincident Indicator remains unchanged, while the Lagging Indicator shifts from slight c...
2023-08-31 02:55:00 ET Summary CLOs are not just a hedge against rising rates. They also have historically provided higher levels of income for a lower level of risk – making a clear case for a strategic allocation. Investors have poured approximately $110 billion into long...
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2024-05-08 22:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-30 12:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-11-19 01:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...