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We expect the European Central Bank to keep rates on hold this year. Elga Bartsch explains why. We believe the European economy requires ongoing monetary policy support. Why? There was a marked slowdown in economic activity last year, and inflation remains subdued. Hence tighter fina...
Overview: Activity in the global capital markets is subdued as investors await fresh developments. New wording for the Irish backstop apparently is being drafted. US-China trade talks resume. No decision has been made on US auto tariffs, but European and Japanese officials seem to be playing...
We told you a couple of years ago that Brexit wasn't going to happen . It's either damaging to the UK economy (in the form of a radical break or hard Brexit), or it is pointless (a soft Brexit with the UK remaining in the customs union) as the UK will still have to follow the rules (without b...
There are several upcoming events where Europe is going to be hitting the walls with who knows what exact results. Don't be so foolish to think that just because it is a Continent away that these events will not affect the global bond and equity markets. They will. The American markets will al...
By Jeff Weniger, CFA You wouldn't know it from the stock market's gut-wrenching fourth-quarter decline and 2019's snapback, but the euro has been downright sleepy. Be careful because that can change quickly. EUR/USD touched a recent low of $1.128 in November and has been moving in a 3-...
Here are four charts that look at key aspects of the US and Eurozone economies: swap spreads, industrial production, equity prices, and exchange rates. By now everyone knows that the Eurozone has its problems, especially with the UK's bumbling attempt to exit the Eurozone trade agreement, Fran...
Government actions eroding investor trust After the briefest and weakest of economic recoveries, Italy has succumbed to its third recession in a decade. This risks further undermining Italian support for the euro, particularly considering that Italian living standards today are below those...
By Christopher Gannatti, CFA, Head of Research, Europe I admit it - I was stunned by January's turnaround in market performance. It seemed logical to consider a more defensive approach. And if someone had asked me if it was appropriate to over-weight small-cap equities, I wouldn't have h...
Original Post By Stuart Burns Everything in the garden may look rosy from the U.S., but there is no doubt that the global economy is slowing. Recent data from Germany suggests the engine of the European Union is suffering as much as anyone. A Telegraph article last week examines...
By Landon Whaley European Central Bank ((ECB)) President Mario Draghi's Dilemma was one of our most profitable macro themes during 2018. The combo platter of a continued deterioration in growth data alongside a massive policy mistake by the ECB is providing us with even more opportunity ...
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ATLANTA , Dec. 13, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco (NYSE: IVZ), one of the world's leading global investment managers, today announced changes to its US exchange-traded fund (ETF) and mutual fund product lines. The fund rationalization is intended to integrate the fund ranges o...