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iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF ( AGG ) - $0.2337 . 30-Day SEC Yield of 4.05% as of Feb. 28. Payable Mar 07; for shareholders of record Mar 02; ex-div Mar 01. For further details see: iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.2337
Summary SPY lost its red 10-month moving average. Increasing my exposure to EFA to 50%. Increasing my exposure to IWM to 30%. In this month’s article I outline why I am maintaining my 20% allocation to the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF ( SPY ), increasing my exposu...
Summary The S&P 500 notched a modest loss in February, driven by an inflation scare. A strong consumer poses problems for Chair Powell and the FOMC as it seeks to slow the rate of increase in consumer prices. Buybacks were attacked during the month, but then got the backing of W...
Summary The prospect of higher U.S. interest rates continues to loom large over the markets. The US is in the late stage of the economic cycle. What to expect in a late-stage economy. The prospect of higher U.S. interest rates continues to loom large over the marke...
Summary Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF is essentially a proxy for the investment grade bond market, comprised of U.S. Treasuries and U.S. corporate bonds. BND is a giant exchange-traded fund with a mutual fund predecessor that dates back to 1986. Its size has some benefits but also some...
Summary The probability of an inverted yield curve remains high, peaking at 97.0%, compared to 94.9% one week before, in the 91-day quarterly period ending August 25, 2023. Friday’s implied forward rate curve shows a quick rise in 1-month rates to an initial peak of 5.19%, versus...
Summary With CPI inflation still declining, the tighter Fed policy is working. With Thursday morning’s second pass at Q4 ’22 GDP, we get to see the GDP deflator. Consensus (as well as Briefing.com’s forecast) is for +3.5%, the same as we saw for the first look at th...
Summary Today's simulation of the U.S. Treasury curve shows that the current streak of inverted 2-year/10-year Treasury yields is likely to persist to 2024 and beyond. The simulation uses 500,000 scenarios and 10 risk factors to generate random future U.S. Treasury yields. Using pro...
Summary Yields have ticked back up as economic data has been strong lately. The Fed's Terminal Rate is seen near 5.25% today, up from nearly 4.8% at the low last month. I see more downside ahead, but buying the dip at two key price levels could be the play. Stocks and bond...
Summary The current streak of trading days with a negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has reached 151 trading days. The most likely 1-percent range for the 3-month Treasury bill yield in 10 years remains the 1% to 2% range. The peak long-term forward 1-month Treasury yield jumpe...
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2024-06-29 14:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-19 15:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-09 16:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...