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Inflationary pressures have eased in recent months thanks to reduced supply-chain frictions and the commodity market coming off the boil. Slower input cost inflation reflected an easing of pressures among both manufacturers and service providers. With staff shortages continuing gl...
Yesterday’s release of Federal Reserve minutes for the July FOMC meeting reaffirms that the central bank won’t ease off on interest-rate hikes until inflation is tamed. The 2-year rate is thought to be the key maturity for monitoring near-term policy expectations. No...
The minutes to the July Federal Open Market Committee meeting suggest the Fed will remain on a tightening path. There is no real forward-looking guidance unlike the June minutes when the Fed suggested July was either going to be a 50bp or a 75bp hike. It is still all to play for w...
Over the past few weeks the financial markets have celebrated the signs of declining “inflation”, the thinking being that the evidence of an inflation reversal will lead to a Fed pivot in the short term. Although there is now a CPI downtick in the rearview mirror, base e...
Economic slowdown but no recession! That message comes from the latest employment report, service sector data, and Federal Reserve. While James Bullard and others currently directing the monetary policy regime suggest they can quell inflation with only an economic slowdown, history su...
Long-term investors need to have a strategy they can stick with no matter what happens, a strategy that keeps them on an even keel. Investing is hard and determining your risk tolerance is far from an exact science. There are a lot of people these days who seem to want the market ...
Inflation is becoming ingrained. That’s bad news for us and bad news for the Federal Reserve. The notion that we were going to have a head-scratcher of a rally is playing out just like we said. Now would be the perfect time to come out with a surprise rate hike. The market ...
CPI numbers show an easing of inflation. Will the Fed keep raising rates? China inflation sits at 2.7%. Does that impact their government policies? A 45% recession likelihood projection. What’s driving that number? Inflation, recession, and China are the key topic...
The combination of a less-than-feared interest rate hike and two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth sparked a strong rally in US equities and other risk assets. Indeed, as July gave way to August, a surprisingly strong jobs report and lower-than-expected CPI numbers made...
The latest inflation numbers for the US suggest that the recent surge in pricing pressure has peaked, maybe. The bigger risk is that consumer inflation remains elevated. The good news: CPI is showing mild signs of peaking after the release of numbers for July. The bottom line: the...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...