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Summary Farmland Partners, a real estate investment trust, was trading at $6.40 the day before the first article was published. Gladstone Land's stock price rose from $13.57 to $17.83 while paying $1.08 of dividends, which provided investors with a 38% gain. The best lesson is...
Summary While the Fed continues to hike rates to combat high inflation levels aggressively, history shows that deflation will become a more significant threat when something “breaks” in the financial or credit markets. While “high inflation rates” are c...
Summary Depending on the indicator of choice, there’s supporting evidence for deciding that worst of the inflation surge is behind us. The CPI numbers for September is a study in contrasts. Headline CPI continues to show peak inflation in the rear-view mirror, if only modes...
Summary U.S. recession risks are rising and stagflation may be poised for a comeback. A strong job market has kept us from entering such an environment, but recession risks are rising as the Federal Reserve has vowed to maintain a restrictive monetary policy to rein in inflation -...
Summary The core CPI in September came in stronger than consensus expectations across consumer spending categories that tend to be “stickier,” including shelter and healthcare. The primary driver of inflation again in September was shelter. Goods price inflation ...
Summary Financial markets are highly liquid and far from breaking down. Since a strong economy is going to be tough to come by these days, high real rates confirm that money is very tight. The interest cost of our federal debt is less than 3% of GDP, and that's relatively low ...
Summary Are October rallies just bear traps in disguise? When will we see a turn in inflation? How to navigate bear markets. September was a brutal month for equities. Could markets strengthen this fall or are rallies just bear traps in disguise? Kim Parlee t...
Summary The outlook for the market and the economy that we laid out in our last quarterly note remains unchanged. A dancing bear is still a bear, and we think lowering portfolio beta exposure below benchmark is key to navigating this recessionary bear market successfully. We t...
Summary Inflation is poorly understood with many moving parts. We dig into the underlying mechanisms to uncover opportunity. I see a pathway to economic stabilization and market recovery. On 10/12/22 the markets had a rocky open due to a somewhat above expectations 0.4 i...
Summary The Fed had paved the way for a major inflation problem during the first half of 2020 - a problem that became blatantly obvious in 2021. The equity bubble has burst, the US economy has entered or is about to enter recession territory, commodity prices have set intermediate...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...