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Summary The latest CPI report for the United States suggests that the inflation spike after 2020 was transitory in the rather weak sense that I understood the term “transitory”. Obviously, the people who argued that inflation would subside in late 2021 - which was a consen...
Summary According to the BLS report, price inflation during the month decelerated slightly, coming in at the lowest year-over-year increase in fifteen months. According to the BLS, Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose 6.5 percent year over year during December, before seasonal adju...
Summary Monetary policy changes move through the economy in 12 to 24-month lags. Would-be sellers are also often reluctant to admit that prices are falling. Eventually, a lack of patience, financial resources, time and other constraints ultimately prompt capitulation selling and, fi...
Summary We already know about housing’s woes, but manufacturing, and now service-related gauges, are in contractionary territory. However, the latest jobs report continued to reveal that a rather solid labor market setting still exists. So, what if the U.S. economy manages th...
Summary The US monetary tightening commenced in February of 2021 - the month that the US monetary inflation rate peaked at an extraordinary level of 40%. Within the Keynesian framework, the economy can be viewed as a bathtub filled with an amorphous liquid called “aggregate deman...
Summary The lag effect of monetary policy changes will surprise the Fed as the fiscal “pig” of stimulus begins to exit the economic “python.”. The massive surge in stimulus sent directly to households resulted in an unprecedented spike in “savings,...
Summary 2022 saw a number of major shifts occur, significantly altering the investment landscape that had prevailed for the last decades. Inflation and higher interest rates led to poor investment returns across asset classes, and 2022 will mainly be remembered as a very difficult year ...
Summary The overall stock market is grossly oversold, and my small- to mid-cap stocks are trading at 6.8 times median current earnings and just 2.8 times median forecasted 2023 earnings. Clearly, the price-to-earnings compression has become ridiculous and relentless. We are now at the t...
Summary Trying to increase the Fed funds rate to 7%, 2.5% higher than they are currently, risks triggering a catastrophically deep recession. As economic growth expanded, increasing wages and savings, the entire period was marked by inflation surges. The problem comes if inflation r...
Summary Massive government transfer payments during the Covid era ended up being monetized and stored in bank saving and deposit accounts. When people emerged from their Covid cocoons in early 2021, they unleashed a tsunami of spending. Inflation, as a result, surged. The moneta...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...