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2023-05-30 11:35:00 ET Summary Inflation has proven sticky, even as growth weakens. Markets are realizing that policy rates are set to stay higher for longer. We like quality in stocks and bonds. Tech stocks surged further last week even as debt ceiling talks spurred bouts of vola...
2023-05-29 13:45:00 ET Summary For over thirty years, warnings about the federal debt and annual deficits have come from those who insisted that running up huge debts would become a problem. They were right, but the time frame has proven to be much longer than most anticipated. Ma...
2023-05-29 11:05:00 ET Summary I just refreshed my favourite U.S. breakeven inflation chart and was surprised by how placid pricing has been. Although the 10-year breakeven inflation rate scooted upwards after the pandemic, it is below where it was pre-Financial Crisis, and roughl...
2023-05-29 08:35:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics measures changes in housing costs in ways that change slowly and arrive too late. A long data lag makes these overweighted housing inflation estimates misleading. If we look at “CPI less shelter,” the ...
2023-05-26 22:00:00 ET Summary The latest inflation data is not what Federal Reserve officials were hoping for. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is thought to be a better predictor of future inflation, also remained high. Fed officials may wor...
2023-05-26 22:00:00 ET Summary One of the great myths of finance, embedded over many decades of thinking, has been that the cost of oil, WTI, is a major factor for inflation. Blaming the Ukraine/Russia conflict on inflation became the norm after Feb 2022. Inflation is always a...
2023-05-25 12:30:00 ET Summary There is a growing consensus among observers that a recession is almost inevitable. After all, hasn't almost every recession in the past 50 years been preceded by a deliberate tightening of monetary policy? The latest round of Fed tightening has ...
2023-05-25 03:30:00 ET Summary Seasonally Adjusted Money Supply in April fell $167B. This is now the 9th consecutive monthly drop. This is also the second-largest drop of all time, behind only last month. Looking at the seasonally adjusted numbers shows that this month decreased t...
2023-05-24 11:30:00 ET Summary The money and bond markets find themselves in an interesting spot on the calendar, nestled right between the May and June FOMC meetings. While inflation gauges continued to reveal signs of further cooling, core measures, such as CPI, showed price pre...
2023-05-23 21:56:00 ET Summary Have central banks done enough to get inflation back to 2%? Are central banks still in control or will they be overwhelmed by troubling financial conditions? Why China's rebound has been softer than expected. For further det...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...