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2023-06-14 04:57:00 ET Summary Commentary from Federal Reserve speakers had suggested that it would take a meaningful upside inflation surprise to convince them to hike at their June FOMC meeting on Wednesday. Annual core CPI (which excludes food and energy prices) eased from 5.5%...
2023-06-14 04:49:00 ET Summary The “Core” CPI has shown no change in direction for seven months, running at an annualized increase of just above 5%. The ZORI experienced a double-digit spike in 2021 through mid-2022 that never fully made it into the CPI indices becau...
2023-06-13 15:30:00 ET Summary Inflation continues to fall, with CPI dropping from 4.96% to 4.13% on a YOY basis, increasing the probability of a Fed pause from 77% to 94%. The real rate of interest has turned positive, and the Fed is expected to pause and perhaps raise rates one ...
2023-06-13 13:04:00 ET Summary May’s US CPI at 4% - the lowest since March 2021 - has increased the prospects of a Fed pause tomorrow; a July hike remains possible. The good news for consumers (but not corporate profits) is that recessions are typically disinflationary and ...
2023-06-13 12:10:00 ET Summary Last week was a momentous one, as the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada both decided to hike rates after enacting conditional pauses. These hikes were important because central banks’ policy decisions can prove infectious, convi...
2023-06-11 09:45:00 ET Summary The Fed’s anti-inflation fight has been helped by the fall in oil and energy pricing. We think most of the benefit of the oil price decline is behind us. Furthermore, the strategic outlook is for higher, not lower, oil prices. Though, we c...
2023-06-09 03:30:00 ET Summary This week’s price action has been largely contained when you look across the major FX pairs, gold, and indices, although some big moves have been observed in some emerging market currencies (not least the Turkish lira). Among the majors, the A...
2023-06-08 05:30:00 ET Summary Inflation in the United States continues to cool, falling in April 2023 to its lowest level in two years. The long period of sustained low inflation was enabled by globalization, the Internet age, and demographics. U.S. economy is absorbing and r...
2023-06-06 09:59:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 reached a new high for 2023, driven mainly by tech mega-caps. A broader rally could continue if economic data remains mixed and the Fed pauses rate hikes. Technical indicators suggest a potential 9% surge in the stock market if a ...
2023-06-06 04:39:00 ET Summary The Fed may not raise rates in July, as inflation is expected to continue to decline. Housing prices have been falling for the past 18 months, which will lead to negative Owner's Equivalent Rent component of the CPI in the coming months. The econ...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...