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2023-08-28 14:45:00 ET Summary With inflation now much lower than it was a year ago, many pundits are considering where the Federal Reserve should go from here. The Fed does not need to raise rates further. And stopping now doesn’t amount to stopping short because inflation...
2023-08-28 10:35:00 ET Summary A potential U.S. auto strike has significant implications for the economy, earnings and inflation. From January through July, there were 214 strikes in the U.S. involving 325,000 workers, compared to 130 strikes and 28,000 workers and 223 strikes and...
2023-08-24 20:20:00 ET Summary The mainstream financial media never talks about the fact that inflation – which is the big enemy today of the bond market – is still better than deflation. Deflation is a truly ugly condition, and the “liquidity trap” tha...
2023-08-24 02:05:00 ET Summary Central bankers meeting this week in Jackson Hole likely will be talking about everything but what matters the most: the balance between the supply and the demand for money. Strong growth in M2 in 2020 was driven by a huge increase in money demand. T...
2023-08-17 13:50:00 ET Summary Earnings have been stagnating, and this past quarter, they came in better than feared. Heading into this season, I was paying very close attention to if companies are able to keep and maybe even grow their margins, and the answer is yes. Looking ...
2023-08-16 05:26:00 ET Summary Lower-than-expected inflation and falling inflation expectations have led to “the summer of our disinflation” in the US. A similar disinflationary scenario could unfold in Europe, but anemic growth and stubborn inflation may make it mor...
2023-08-15 22:51:00 ET Summary In 2022, bonds had the most significant drawdown since 1788 due to the massive surge of economic growth and inflation caused by more than $5 trillion in Federal interventions. Since the future return of any bond, on the date of purchase, is calculabl...
2023-08-14 23:39:00 ET Summary At some point, likely well before year-end, the Fed is going to have to concede that inflation has been licked - and lower rates accordingly. It's well-known that housing prices and rents stopped rising about a year ago, but owners' equivalent rent, ...
2023-08-14 21:56:00 ET Summary Headline CPI peaked in June 2022 at 9% and steadily declined through June 2023 to 3%. Monthly net new jobs data is quite volatile. With the pandemic rebound largely over, jobs growth is slowing, although still quite robust by pre-pandemic standards. ...
2023-08-11 16:22:00 ET Summary CPI report offered hope that inflation is moving in the right direction, while PPI suggested pipeline price pressures remain modest. The University of Michigan sentiment index indicates households are less fearful of inflation, so the past two days o...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...