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2023-09-13 11:30:00 ET Summary US August inflation data shows a modest upside surprise, with headline CPI at 0.6% and core prices at 0.3%. The Fed is likely to keep one final rate hike in their forecasts despite keeping rates on hold in September. Risks to inflation include hi...
2023-09-11 14:20:00 ET Summary The dollar has been higher for the last 8 weeks. The Fed raising rates and holding them higher for longer is contributing to that rise. We are starting to see tremors of volatility in currencies, from the Mexican peso to the Japanese yen. The Fed may...
2023-09-11 14:15:00 ET Summary Market narratives have flip-flopped through the year as the new macro regime plays out. We stay selective amid stagnating activity and volatile inflation. U.S. stocks dipped and bond yields climbed after solid U.S. services data. Markets are coming a...
2023-09-07 05:30:00 ET Summary Growth of business activity in the US came close to stalling in August, according to the final reading of S&P Global's US PMI. Looking at the broad split of the data, manufacturing output slipped back into decline after a brief resumption of grow...
2023-09-07 00:45:00 ET Summary Are central banks at a crossroads on rates? Why there may be more options for income currently. Are markets being too optimistic about the economy? Even as signs of economic weakness emerge, central banks are pledging to stay th...
2023-09-06 23:50:00 ET Summary The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow is looking for nearly 6.0 percent annualized third-quarter real GDP growth. Is the coast clear of recession (for now), or is this the last gasp of strength? Monetary policy works with long and variable lags – no...
2023-09-06 23:30:00 ET Summary The primary reason why sentiment might be low is because sentiment tends to lag. If you review past recessions sentiment will always decline during a recession. Real wages tricked us on the upside, then depressed us on the downside. Real wages su...
2023-09-06 03:15:00 ET Summary On the interest rate front, the Federal funds rate is now close to systematic benchmarks that have historically been consistent with prevailing core inflation, nominal GDP growth, and unemployment. By dropping interest rates to just 1% after the coll...
2023-09-05 11:30:00 ET Summary We up short-term sovereign bonds on attractive yields and downgrade credit in the long run. We stay cautious on long-term bonds even with the surge in yields. U.S. stocks recovered last week as 10-year yields slid from 16-year highs. Jobs data showed...
2023-09-05 02:25:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) increased 0.2 percent in July. Averaging over the past five months, the PCEPI has grown at 2.16 percent annually. For three months and one month, the f...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...