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2023-10-31 14:51:00 ET Summary What's driving Treasury yields higher? What high bond yields say about fiscal and monetary policy? Strong US GDP impact on the bond market. The U.S. 10-year Treasury has been hovering near the 5% level as investors weigh the impact of s...
2023-10-31 14:50:00 ET Summary Purchasing Managers' Indexes painted a weaker picture for manufacturing in Japan, the eurozone and the UK. The 10-year US Treasury yield continued its roller coaster ride as a wide range of factors contributed to big swings in this key data point. ...
2023-10-31 07:30:00 ET Summary Fed week this week and the ritual continues. Armageddon continues on hold, rebuffed by continuing good economic and earnings reports. A few words about inflation. If you believe the Fed’s rhetoric, the 10-year US Treasury note near 5% ...
2023-10-31 03:25:00 ET Summary I find it fascinating that for the first full year of inflation, 2021-2022, markets did not price in any interest rate rise at all. When the Fed finally did start to raise rates, amid raging inflation, the market even more curiously thought the rate ...
2023-10-31 00:30:00 ET Summary By themselves, Treasury yields spiking out of control can cause a recession, and October delivered both a 5% yield on 10-year Treasury bonds and 8% fixed-rate mortgages. We have gotten into a situation where the avalanche of Treasury issuance (due to...
2023-10-29 12:45:00 ET Summary The big news this week—though widely anticipated—was the 4.9% annualized growth of the economy in the third quarter. By week's end, worries about Middle East tensions trumped growth fears, and inflation data showed that disinflation, no...
2023-10-28 06:03:00 ET Summary US inflation remains somewhat sticky, but intensifying concerns are now coming to the fore over the path for real household disposable income. Today's report showing real household disposable income falling for a fourth month in a row, and challenges...
2023-10-28 02:55:00 ET Summary The spike in inflation in “core services” (all services except energy services) was the big nasty surprise. The “Core Services” PCE price index spiked by 0.45% in September from August (5.5% annualized). The PCE price ...
2023-10-26 21:11:15 ET Summary Inflation is rapidly declining and is likely to continue to decrease further as shelter is declining, but enters the CPI with a considerable lag. The balance of the evidence points to pandemic-related factors as the main cause of the surge in inflati...
2023-10-25 22:31:00 ET Summary Future optimism improved, in part due to hopes of interest rates having peaked, something which looks increasingly likely given a further cooling of inflationary pressures signaled in October. The sustained growth recorded by the US PMI, albeit only ...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...