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2023-11-16 01:50:00 ET Summary Inflation has dropped down significantly which means that the Fed, in my opinion, will stop raising rates now, and maybe even lower them, at some point next year. The heat is not off yet, but it is coming off and it is a marked change for the both th...
2023-11-15 23:00:00 ET Summary I've been predicting the demise of inflation for at least a year now, and yesterday's CPI report makes it official. There's no denying that inflation has fallen to within spitting distance of the Fed's target. The market has finally acknowledged ...
2023-11-15 05:05:00 ET Summary US consumer price inflation slowed more than expected in October. Higher borrowing costs will increasingly weigh on activity and corporate pricing power, while slowing housing rents will be the main driver of disinflation over the next two quarters. ...
2023-11-14 20:20:00 ET Summary Tuesday’s CPI report was a huge relief for the Federal Reserve and their fight against inflation. Headline CPI came in at 3.2% and core inflation came in at 4%. The details showed a broad slowdown in the positive rate of change in prices, whic...
2023-11-14 15:30:00 ET Summary AIER Everyday Price Index fell 0.49% in October 2023, the largest decline since December 2022. The October inflation release provides a welcome respite from resurgent price increases over the past few months. While the most recent CPI and EPI dat...
2023-11-14 15:12:00 ET Summary U.S. real personal consumption has held up well in the face of higher interest rates because jobs kept growing. Inflation has receded in virtually every category, although shelter is coming down more slowly due to the confusing and lagged calculation...
2023-11-14 12:30:00 ET Summary In my opinion, last week’s comments from the Federal Reserve Chair were performative and don’t change anything in terms of my outlook. Central banks are focused on ensuring that longer-term inflation expectations - not shorter-term ones...
2023-11-14 06:51:00 ET Summary In the context of fighting inflation, the “final mile” represents the successful and sustainable achievement of a central bank’s inflation target. Perhaps the biggest surprise in macroeconomics this year has been the resilience o...
2023-11-14 01:11:00 ET Summary I think the trimming or revising of lower forward growth estimates is a reflection of the FOMC policy. Crude oil and gasoline have fallen sharply in the last 6 weeks. High-yield credit spreads actually tightened a little this week, as did high-gr...
2023-11-10 00:18:00 ET Summary The Fed last hiked rates in July and since then financial and credit conditions have tightened. While concerns about the outlook for demand are a key factor limiting the desire for companies to raise prices further, a more benign cost backdrop has al...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...