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2023-12-12 18:40:00 ET Summary This morning’s Consumer Price Index for November was mostly in line with expectations (although the headline reading was slightly higher than expected). The report also showed that the most rapid leg of disinflation is most likely behind us. ...
2023-12-12 11:20:00 ET Summary I believe there will be no more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, or Bank of England. The data has shown continued progress on disinflation with economic growth slowing but still resilient - particularly in the US. I als...
2023-12-11 10:20:00 ET Summary Bonds have rallied in the past month - temporarily pegged back by a semi-hot NFP report on Friday - and equities are in a good mood too. Inflation in the developed world is now falling rapidly, and what was a significant inflation shock in core price...
2023-12-09 09:15:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports 199,000 new payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate from 3.9% to 3.7%. The upcoming Consumer Price Index report and Federal Open Market Committee decision on interest rates will be closely watched. ...
2023-12-08 02:30:00 ET Summary Recent US inflation data shows that core PCE is close to the Fed's 2% target, indicating that the Fed may be done with its hiking cycle. The peak in the 10-year Treasury may have already been reached, with a 70 basis point decline in November. Th...
2023-12-06 22:15:00 ET Summary The core CPI monthly percentage change annualized hit zero in the ’60s and early ’70s, but only about eight times or so since then. The monthly change did hit zero, but there did not seem to be any staying power in terms of the core CPI...
2023-12-06 01:55:00 ET Summary Money supply growth fell again in October, remaining deep in negative territory after turning negative in November 2022 for the first time in twenty-eight years. October's drop continues a steep downward trend from the unprecedented highs experienced...
2023-12-05 03:04:00 ET Summary Has inflation been tamed? Maybe not. Why the Canadian and U.S. economies are moving in different directions. Can Canada avoid a recession? Recent economic data has signaled so-called “sticky” inflation may be showing sig...
2023-12-02 02:10:00 ET Summary The Goldilocks Economy so beloved of financial news anchors is in that happy medium of growth that is moderate, but still positive. This week saw an upward revision of third quarter GDP real growth to 5.2 percent, while the latest inflation data in t...
2023-11-30 22:15:00 ET Summary All are consistent with the view that the economy is growing at a moderate pace and inflation is fast approaching the Fed's target (indeed, by some measures it is already below target). M2, the most important monetary variable that the world (and the...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...