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2024-02-14 20:44:00 ET Summary US inflation report, a wake-up call to markets. What January's CPI data means for bond market. Why markets are once again not listening to what the Fed is saying about rates. U.S. CPI data for January came in hotter than expected, cau...
2024-02-14 10:15:00 ET Summary The overall inflation numbers seem to be picking up a significant relative price effect, which is not macroeconomic but microeconomic. If we focus on more recent price trends, the inflation picture looks more favorable. Stubbornly keeping policy ...
2024-02-14 06:30:00 ET Summary Headline inflation came in at 3.1% while core CPI came in at 3.9%. Seasonality has caused large upside surprises in each of the last three years. The January reading was moderately worrisome, but very unlikely to persist. The January ...
2024-02-14 06:22:00 ET Summary “Core services” CPI jumped by 0.66% in January from December, or by 8.2% annualized. In this inflation cycle, only three months were worse (April, June, and September 2022). “Core CPI,” a measure of underlying inflation th...
2024-02-13 18:25:00 ET Summary The consumer price index (CPI) for January showed that core inflation held steady at a rate of 3.9% last month, a small setback in a trend of moderating inflation in the U.S. Healing in global supply chains and a rebalancing of the U.S. labor market ...
2024-02-13 14:23:00 ET Summary The annual rate of headline inflation falls to 3.1% from 3.4% and the core remains at 3.9%. Shelter, airline fares, medical care, recreation, and education all saw price increases. Today's miss will embolden the Fed to signal it is in no hurry to...
2024-02-13 14:20:00 ET Summary Today's CPI was exactly what the market wasn't looking for. On all accounts, inflation came in higher than expected. Headline CPI came in at 3.1% year/year which is only just slightly above its post-COVID low of 3.0% from last June. Core CPI, mea...
2024-02-12 13:10:00 ET Summary We like emerging markets as upbeat risk appetite carries on. We also see big structural shifts creating granular opportunities within countries. U.S. stocks hit another all-time high last week thanks to earnings beats, even as U.S.10-year yields tick...
2024-02-08 05:20:00 ET Summary Last year's update of CPI seasonal adjustment factors was a big deal, showing inflation momentum was stronger than thought at the end of 2022, catching both the market and the Federal Reserve off guard. Friday sees the 2023 update with the market wat...
2024-02-07 05:10:00 ET Summary Money supply growth fell again in December, remaining deep in negative territory after turning negative in November 2022 for the first time in 28 years. During periods of economic boom, money supply tends to grow quickly as commercial banks make more...
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2024-05-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 13:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...