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2023-07-03 22:27:00 ET Summary Central banks are finding it hard to finish the long journey toward inflation normalization, but we believe that policy rates are likely at or near their peaks - and could be maintained at elevated levels for some time. With roughly 500 basis points ...
2023-07-03 18:39:00 ET Summary Growth stocks were the big winners as the market for most of the first half was trying to price in rate cuts before the end of the year. Lower rates are seen as positive for high-multiple growth stocks and with a dash of artificial intelligence throw...
2023-06-28 08:45:00 ET Summary Argosy Investors is a fee-only investment adviser seeking to earn above-average returns through a risk-conscious approach that allows us to maintain significant amounts of cash if the conditions warrant, and to deploy capital quickly and aggressively whe...
2023-06-27 03:05:00 ET Summary Striking the right balance between interest-rate and credit risk can be a good idea in the late stages of a credit cycle. We think it’s a particularly good idea in this credit cycle. Why? Consider that over the last 18 months, investors have g...
2023-06-26 21:42:00 ET Summary The bedrock of the asset allocation process is to create strategic allocations that work over the longer term, while then modifying those positions in response to the market realities. Some of what we have seen during 2023 has been due to exuberance ...
2023-06-19 07:05:00 ET Summary Last week, the Fed announced that it was not going to raise interest rates. The media and pundits proclaimed that this would send a false signal of a new bull market. We saw a substantial increase in trading volume compared to the rather low transact...
2023-06-15 02:15:00 ET Summary The main fallen angel story in May was the upgrades to investment grade, and accompanying exit, of three issuers from the Index (“rising stars”). Fallen angels yields increased, alongside all fixed income instruments, in May by 41bps wh...
2023-06-07 06:20:00 ET Summary The yield of the U.S. high yield market, as measured by the ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index, has been in the 8-9% range for much of the last year, and was close to 9% as of May 31, 2023. A number of sophisticated investors understand that the potentia...
2023-06-05 06:30:00 ET Summary Nvidia increased their revenue guidance for the July ’23 quarter. Data center revenue and EPS guidance for the fiscal Q2 for NVDA saw sell-side analysts boost the fiscal ’24 EPS estimate by 69% and the revenue estimate by 41%. High-grad...
2023-06-02 21:30:00 ET Summary Cooler heads prevail over debt ceiling but are there broader implications? Recession vs resilience: Finding opportunities in a cautious market. Why fixed income still may provide opportunities for investors. The bill to rais...
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2024-05-19 04:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-09 03:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...