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To many observers the 28 percent decline in the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield this year is a clear warning of trouble ahead. A common theme in financial commentaries is that falling bond rates reflects the widespread fear of a coming recession. Yet this conclusion obscures the fact that falling ...
Things couldn't get much better if you're a bond investor. U.S. government and corporate debt markets have bested analysts' expectations so far this year, thanks largely to safe-haven demand as the global economy cools. Bonds have also outperformed equities this year, no small feat given the s...
A popular aphorism in financial circles is that when it comes to monetary policy, the tail now wags the dog. This is another way of saying that Fed policy nowadays is largely based on the stock market’s performance, rather than the other way around. In that vein, there seems to be a con...
In the race to predict the next major market top, analysts are outdoing themselves in painting a bearish picture for U.S. equities. And while there are admittedly a few signs that could be used to justify a bearish stance, the overall weight of technical and fundamental evidence still support ...
Investors' insatiable demand for bonds, in part driven by safety concerns, has resulted in collapsing yields. Ironically, this scenario paves the way for higher stock prices in the coming months as equities suddenly look far more attractive relative to lower-yielding debt. In today's report, w...
Bears are an unloved and often unappreciated species on Wall Street. Yet despite their sour disposition and inveterate pessimism toward equities, bull markets wouldn’t be possible without those brave participants willing to take the opposite side of a bullish trade. In today’s re...
This spring was a tough time to be an investor in the tech sector. A few major industries took a beating in May, including healthcare stocks and semiconductors. Week after week, Nasdaq-listed shares making new 52-week lows frequently outnumbered stocks making new highs. One could even be forgi...
With worries abounding over the global trade outlook, it has become fashionable in financial circles to sound an alarmist note on the U.S. economy. In the mainstream media, headline after headline warns of a possible recession by later this year – even if the Fed cuts rates this summer....
In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump was the subject of much criticism for his proposed Mexican border wall. Now a new “wall” is being erected, only it’s not the kind made of steel or concrete. The wall I’m referring to is the proverbial “wall of...
With any method for computing investment risk and performance, it is important to use data covering as long a time period as possible. In particular, the measurement period must include both bull and bear markets for the investments of interest. - Peter G. Martin How Do You Measure Ris...
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2024-07-09 17:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-19 19:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-29 03:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...