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High-frequency economic data are important because of the insight generated about the economy and the possible impact on policy. In the bond market, the Chinese 10-year premium has collapsed. It last finished above 100 bp on March 7. Bedeviled by Covid and natural disasters, the J...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is creating another headwind for China, as it faces the risk of secondary sanctions from the U.S. and European countries. Russia is China’s immediate northern neighbor and a major supplier of energy. Broadly defined, China has lost significan...
Investors appear remarkably calm at the moment given the level of uncertainty we’re facing this year, from inflation to interest rates and even Covid, when you consider China is still embracing lockdowns. Throw soaring commodity prices into the mix and there’s plenty of ...
We are experiencing an environment with a sharply higher probability of large, abrupt price moves related to event risk. Volatility typically reflects a simple measurement of the average of the ups and downs. The standard deviation is an average of ups and downs, and unfortunately...
Why Chinese stocks have been riding a roller coaster of volatility. How China's battle with COVID-19 is impacting other emerging markets. Has Beijing gone too far in its crackdown on the tech sector? For further details see: Will Chinese Tech Stocks Continue To Face Soar...
Based on new hopes for a peaceful Ukrainian/Russian resolution to their nearly month-long war, the world is cautiously optimistic. Although China has been trying to help Russia avoid economic sanctions, China is struggling with its own debt problems from Evergrande, slowing economic g...
Markets rallied after intense selling pressures and deep pessimism earlier this month. Last week’s gains were seen most sharply in Emerging Markets. Chinese shares have fallen hard in the last 13 months, returning the country’s stock market in value-play territory. S...
The global economy is facing an incredible amount of uncertainty at the moment which is continuing to drive the volatility we’re seeing in financial markets. Whether it’s uncertainty around inflation, interest rates, commodity prices, Covid or Ukraine, the growth outlook...
Headwinds to economic growth in China are mounting and becoming increasingly difficult to overcome without creating instability. Even if the fallout from Evergrande is limited, China’s transition to a consumption-led economy may be bumpy. Companies with large exposure to Ch...
Developed market central banks have started to raise interest rates, led by the Bank of England. Emerging market fundamentals are better in the current tightening cycle compared to history. In the five previous US rate hiking cycles, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index on average perf...
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2024-07-05 20:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-15 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 02:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...