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By James Smith , Developed Markets Economist US inflation back to target, but it won't help market pessimism US headline CPI has nudged back up to the 2% target for the first time since November, helped along by the 30% rise in gasoline prices since the low at the start of the year. B...
Posted by James Ong, Director, Derivative Portfolio Management on May 9, 2019, in Fixed Income Taken together, the recent combination of testimony, press releases, and other communications suggest that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may be considering a shift to average inflation t...
By Robert Hughes AIER's Everyday Price Index jumped 1.1 percent again in April, more than double the 0.5 percent gain in the Consumer Price Index. The EPI measures price changes people see in everyday purchases such as groceries, restaurant meals, gasoline, and utilities. The EPI is not se...
Stodgy and mundane, the very model of prudence and wisdom. That is what central banks are supposed to be, even in this new age transparency paradigm. The central bank being put on display for the public has been opened up for those very reasons. So you can be assured they are the very model of...
Many market commentators and conspiracy theorists are postulating that China might dump its rather significant holdings of US Treasuries as revenge for trade tariffs. The chart below shows the amount of Treasuries held by foreign countries at present. $1.22 Trillion. These Treasuries came ...
This article has an ambitious purpose, namely, to show investors how interconnected different financial sectors are and how they influence other sectors. The stock markets, the Fed, the debt and the dollar are not independent entities that go their own way. They influence each other. The US do...
The widely followed 5-year Treasury market's implied inflation forecast fell to a six-week low ahead of Friday's April update on the Consumer Price Index ((CPI)). The softer outlook for pricing pressure could be noise that's linked to the US-China spat over trade. Alternatively, the market is ...
Many blog readers have asked for my opinions of "Modern Monetary Theory." I haven't written yet because I try to read about things in some detail, ideally from original sources, before reviewing them, which I have not done. Life is short. From the summaries I have read, some of the central p...
David Andolfatto is a vice president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank and is published widely in the field of monetary economics. He also blogs at MacroMania, and has recently published on issues such as the zero lower bound, the symmetry of the Fed's inflation target, a new standing...
By Alberto J. Boquin, CFA The Federal Reserve (Fed) has an inflation problem. The central bank is not generating enough of it. As a result, market and consumer inflation expectations are plumbing new lows. The 5-year forward inflation breakeven derived from Treasury and the Treasury Inflat...
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2024-05-27 04:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-07 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-19 02:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...