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2024-01-24 18:15:00 ET Summary Less than two weeks ago, the March 2024 FOMC meeting was widely viewed as the timeline for first cut, with the probability coming in at just about 77%. Post-Fed comments over the last few trading sessions have pushed that probability down to 46%, wit...
2024-01-24 11:46:47 ET Summary Federal Reserve continues quantitative tightening despite market conditions. Securities holdings reduced by $1,332.4 trillion since March 2022. Current securities holdings amount to $7,158.1 billion as of January 17, 2024. Regardless of...
2024-01-24 11:29:00 ET Summary Many investors remain overweight cash, but markets have begun to price for a substantial decline in short-term interest rates. The Asset Allocation Committee (“the AAC”) therefore thinks it is time to deploy liquidity, locking in bond y...
2024-01-23 06:30:00 ET Summary Why 2024 won't be the same as 2023 for equity markets. Are bonds getting last year's rally this year? How the U.S. election could impact markets. Whether it be slowing growth, upcoming U.S. elections or numerous geopolitical concerns, t...
2024-01-22 15:40:00 ET Summary The General Business Conditions index fell to -43.7, a depth only exceeded by the -78.2 reading in April of 2020 with the economy shut down for COVID. New orders (-49.4 vs -11.3) and shipments (-31.3 vs -6.4) also posted sharp declines and unfilled o...
2024-01-22 12:50:00 ET Summary Geopolitical fragmentation is accelerating, as seen with recent events in Asia and the Middle East. We see it keeping inflation pressures elevated longer term. U.S. stocks climbed to record highs last week. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose as mar...
2024-01-22 03:48:00 ET Summary It's increasingly challenging for the bond market - and Fed officials - to downplay the odds of a meaningful upside surprise in U.S. economic activity. The rates market ended the week pricing a 49% probability of a rate cut by the March 20th FOMC mee...
2024-01-21 06:45:39 ET Summary Renewed uncertainty regarding the pace and time of 2024 rate cuts by the Fed add to risks for stocks and bonds. The odds for a March rate cut have declined to under 50% from as high as 80% earlier this month. We expect the Fed to maintain a hawki...
2024-01-20 02:05:00 ET Summary The improving news on inflation is paving the way for monetary policy pivots over the coming months. Global consumer price inflation forecasts for 2024-25 have been slightly reduced. We have revised down our forecast of US core Personal Con...
2024-01-20 01:10:00 ET Summary So close, and then so far. That was the story of the Treasury yield curve last October, when the 10-year yield briefly touched a decades-long high of five percent. As has become the norm, the bond market took whatever the Fed said and doubled down. ...
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2024-04-10 10:45:02 ET Roblox Corporation (RBLX) RBLX is trading UP for the last 5 days, and it at trading at $40.15 with volume of 4,430,802 and a one day change of $1.06 (2.72%). Roblox Corporation has a 52-week low of 24.88 and a 52-week high of $47.65. The business's 50-day movi...
2024-04-08 13:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-19 13:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...