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Junk bonds - those rated BB or lower - surged earlier this month as the US Federal Reserve announced it would be buying high yield ETFs for the first time in history. The announcement came on April 9, less than three weeks following the equity market low on March 23. On the news, speculative...
Who could have seen this coming? It's week 5 of the economic lockdown, and stocks have rallied to August 2019 levels again. If that makes sense to you, then you're smarter than me. To be fair, there is a massive deal of monetary and fiscal stimulus in the market, but the fact is that the Ameri...
Anthony Okolie recaps the biggest news of the day including the latest COVID-19 developments, followed by a conversation with Greg Kocik, Head of High Yield Bond Group, TD Asset Management, about the potential opportunities in the high yield and corporate bond space. Original Post ...
By Tajinder Dhillon Brent oil has entered into a bear market, as prices have fallen almost $30 a barrel since the beginning of the year. Initial worries over COVID-19 caused the largest weekly decline in Brent oil prices since January 2016, having declined 13.6% during the week of February...
By Glenn Voyles, Director of Portfolio Management, Corporate Bonds, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income; Bryant Dieffenbacher, Research Analyst, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income and Matt Fey, Director of Research, Corporate Bonds, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Financial markets across the glo...
Here's that iceberg that is drifting toward our economy's Titanic... and no, it ain't a virus, but it is our choice: Via: @Schuldensuehner Years of easy credit, easy money. The pile of debt from Baa to lower ratings is the real threat here, for its sustainability is heavily contingent on t...
Investment returns will likely come down to a few big, unpredictable issues this year. We look at how they might upend market expectations. After a year of outsized returns for both equity and fixed-income markets, expectations for 2020 returns have settled closer to their long-run average...
By Kevin Flanagan, Head of Fixed Income Strategy and Josh Shapiro, CFA, Quantitative Strategist Our base case is that the credit cycle will not turn in 2020. Investors will likely continue to seek income in higher-yielding fixed income assets. An important topic in credit strategy resear...
Note: This article is a co-production between The Macro Teller ("TMT"), moderator of Macro Trading Factory ("MTF"), and The Fortune Teller ("TFT"), moderator of Wheel of Fortune ("WoF"). Summary It's not easy to be super optimistic about the stock market ( SPY , DIA , QQQ , IWM ) at...
Although risk-free yields have nudged up a bit after seven years of Fed ZIRP (zero interest rate policy) from 2008 to 2015, the desirability of investment grade or bank insured yield vehicles remains muted. Indeed, with the 10-year Treasury continuing to sit sub-two percent and the Fed easing ...