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Bitcoin's Year-End Odds of Reaching $150,000 Just Slipped to 10% on Prediction Markets -- Here's What That Really Means for Crypto Investors

Source: Motley Fool

2026-03-02 07:59:00 ET

In a span of just over four months, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has lost nearly 50% of its value and currently trades for just $65,000. In the past, this might have been a "buy the dip" opportunity -- but not any longer.

On Polymarket, prediction market traders are only giving Bitcoin a 10% chance of hitting $150,000 by the end of the year. And that could have serious implications for Bitcoin's price trajectory over the next 10 months.

Just over a year ago, it was fashionable to talk about Bitcoin as "digital gold." In December 2024, even Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell got into the act, referring to Bitcoin as a modern version of gold. He said, "It's like gold -- it's just virtual and digital."

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