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Summary For 40 years, steadily declining inflation and interest rates buoyed equity returns. That changed abruptly last year. Investors must now adjust expectations to a new macroeconomic and market landscape that will require a fresh mindset to reach long-term goals. By...
Summary Today’s high prices may well lead to tomorrow’s low prices, and tomorrow may arrive sooner than many feared. Asynchronous reopening is set to bedevil the global economy for at least another year. Broad housing market activity during much of 2022 suggests that w...
Summary There were ample causes for this global downdraft in equity markets. Global equity markets look likely to face a global recession in 2023, which appears to have already begun in the final quarter of 2022. Equity markets will face a tough global environment in 2023, particula...
Summary Much of Wall Street will be taking off this week. It will be a week filled with lots of economic readings. There will be no earnings and no Fed speak. By Ed Moya US Thin trading conditions could persist as much of Wall Street will be taking off th...
Summary The top two mega themes in terms of global net inflows in 2022 were Climate Change-related themes and Big Data. The largest net outflows came from tech-heavy themes, led by Robotics & Automation. 2023 may bring a return to more normal markets driven by economics rather t...
Summary Inflation continues to moderate, not only here, but also in Europe. Despite the negative economic reports and the reaction to the Fed rate hike, the US Dollar barely budged for the week. Value yet again outperformed Growth in the last week, this time by a spread of almost 1%...
Summary Global climate adjustment is falling behind in meeting the targets of limiting temperature rise to below 2 degrees Celsius and reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. Developing economies vulnerable to climate change are likely to undertake concerted calls for "loss and damag...
Summary While China’s sheer size and growth potential make it too big to ignore, many investors have myopically shed Hong Kong and ADR-listed shares. Looser monetary policy and stimulus initiatives have helped China chart a solid post-COVID-19 recovery with modest inflation...
Summary Both the Empire Manufacturing Survey and Philly Fed business outlook are expected to remain in contraction territory. Earnings season heats up as we hear from Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Netflix, and Tesla. Japan may need to intervene in the FX market again as the ...
Summary The Fed is primarily concerned with what is happening with inflation. This earnings season will likely be filled with hiring freezes/layoff announcements, cost-cutting saving measures, and mostly downbeat outlooks. The West is working towards fresh sanctions and potent...