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EM debt currently offers value to investors with a medium- to long-term horizon and a willingness to tolerate a period of higher volatility. EM sovereign high-yield spreads are particularly compelling, especially relative to U.S. high-yield debt. Longer term, we believe the outloo...
The Shanghai Composite Index plunged 5.1% to 2,928, the biggest one-day drop since February 2020, during the Wuhan crisis. Investors were already worried about slowing consumer demand in China amid the resurgence of Covid and the resurgence of the lockdowns. Construction has been ...
On 22 March 2022, China released the 14th Five-Year Plan for the energy sector, covering development plan through 2025. The 14th FYP discloses key 2025 objectives in four categories - supply security, system transition, efficiency, and innovation - to guide the energy sector toward th...
Chinese consumer prices were flat from February 2022 to March, even though gasoline and energy costs predictably skyrocketed. Apart from materials costs and those in other commodities, producer prices have been decelerating and, in many cases, outright declining. Total foreign res...
The magnitude of the war’s impact on growth and inflation will be determined by how much and for how long energy prices rise. The war, economic sanctions and the associated rise in energy costs are likely to exacerbate global shipping impediments, too, which had begun to recove...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is creating another headwind for China, as it faces the risk of secondary sanctions from the U.S. and European countries. Russia is China’s immediate northern neighbor and a major supplier of energy. Broadly defined, China has lost significan...
We are experiencing an environment with a sharply higher probability of large, abrupt price moves related to event risk. Volatility typically reflects a simple measurement of the average of the ups and downs. The standard deviation is an average of ups and downs, and unfortunately...
Following the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020, China adopted a loose monetary policy, which, in addition to strict COVID-19 measures. China’s financial policy shifted again with the announcement of front-loading monetary easing measures and a clear mandate to prop up growth in 202...
Will China's real estate woes continue to be a major drag for China's economy? China's zero-tolerance COVID-19 policy: A major threat to China's growth. Diverging monetary policies between China and the West: Opportunity for Chinese equities. For further details see: Are...
FIA recently released its statistics on the number of futures and options traded on exchanges worldwide in 2021, marking the fourth consecutive year of record-setting trading activity. Two years ago, we reported that the Chinese volume growth entered into a new category; the 1billion ...