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Two opposing forces appear to be dominating the market currently, with investors polarized between recession fears and bargain hunting following this year’s large equity selloff. Investors priced in most central bank tightening and seem more confident with the inflation outlook...
There has been a dramatic fall in Treasury yields in the past month and an equally dramatic fall in energy, metals, and agricultural commodities. The Ukraine situation holds many unknowns, as it is a major driver of financial markets and there is no end in sight as to when the fightin...
The EU – and the U.S., for that matter – are placing more energy sanctions on the Russian Federation, but it looks like they are self-defeating in nature. U.S. stocks have long ago traded below their March lows, but the initial DAX decline was much deeper and quite a bit...
European debt ratios have barely budged since 2012. Some Eurozone countries, including Ireland, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain have spent the past decade deleveraging and their debt ratios have plunged. Part of the reason there has been no debt crisis in Europe over the past...
It will be a busy week for Fed speak as Williams talks about LIBOR on Monday, Barkin discusses recession on Tuesday, Waller speaks on Thursday and Bostic talks on Friday. Energy traders will have a lot to keep their eye on next week as President Biden makes a trip to the Middle East a...
Euro rates and German Bund yields are on a downward path, justified by recession risks and declining inflation fears. Liquidity conditions could remain poor over the summer but will improve by year-end. 10Y Bund yields will converge to 1% by mid-2023. Narrowing swap spreads mean 1...
The rise in bond spreads in most eurozone countries could be a problem. Nevertheless, the long period of extremely low interest rates and the very gradual rollover of public debt give governments some leeway, even if spreads rise further. That said, any reduction in economic growt...
Europe has an inflation problem. The ECB is working on an anti-fragmentation tool to manage southern European spreads, thereby liberating itself to pursue its price-stability mandate unencumbered. All risky assets remain vulnerable to recession and generalized negative sentiment -...
For the first time in decades, we now have an inflation problem. This is prompting central banks to tighten monetary conditions, just as the global economy is weakening. This does not bode well for investment prospects. If things get really bad, a pivot back to monetary easing cou...
If traders are looking for bad news, they need look no further than Europe, which has plenty to go around. In many ways, the ECB has been playing catch-up with the more aggressive shifts towards monetary tightening at the Fed and elsewhere. At the June 15 emergency meeting, the EC...
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2024-07-20 21:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-10 18:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-10 06:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...