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The energy sector led during the month of July, providing almost all of the positive performance due to a strong rally in natural gas prices. The heat wave from late June into early July in the lower Midwest U.S. killed cattle, quickly reducing supply. However, both cattle and hogs ra...
Money managers are no longer "apocalyptically" bearish, but still very negative, according to the latest BofA Securities survey out Tuesday. Hope is rising that inflation and rate shocks are over, strategist Michael Hartnett wrote in the August Fund Manager Survey. Of the 284 paneli...
China’s National Bureau of Statistics reported that retail sales grew by 2.7% in July - nearly half as much as the consensus forecast of 5%. Industrial production also missed the 4.6% estimate with an increase of 3.8% as the Chinese economy joined the US in shrinking during the...
It appears the U.S. economy may be falling into recession - the business cycle has not been eliminated. Valuations outside the U.S. continue to look relatively attractive versus the U.S., especially in Japan. Credit spreads rallied over the past month or so and are once again in l...
Elevated inflation, slowing global economic growth expectations, and reduced central bank liquidity remain the key economic considerations. The policy interest rate divergence between the U.S. and Europe is likely to increase amid heightened recession risk in Europe. We expect mar...
The time to buy the so-called "best investments to beat inflation" may be behind us now. The best investments for inflation, according to mainstream financial media, are TIPS, gold, commodities, real estate, and short-term bonds. Every one of these underperformed the S&P 500 in Ju...
Inventories have risen recently and there has been a lot of commentary about how this will negatively impact the economy. My brief overview of markets is that large growth stocks are still overvalued even as they led the recent rally. The sentiment about the economy is still quite...
Taylor Rule Rate is at the highest level in decades. Low LME inventories, indicating shortages in commodities. Household savings are at a high level compared to 2008. Inflation has become sticky. CAPEX is at a secular low level for commodities. As many investors ...
Most major economies are dealing with inflation highs not seen in decades. Market expectations of peak policy rates have declined since June, likely reflecting the significant slowdown in activity as well as recent commodity price declines. Tightening financial conditions as well ...
UUP has been in a long uptrend since June 2021. UUP is negatively correlated to U.S. equities and commodities. UUP is useful as a “safe asset” during equity markets risk-off. UUP – Invesco DB U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund Invesco DB USD Bullish ET...
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...