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Summary The average spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 30-year mortgage rate has averaged 1.7% since 1990 and now stands at 2.9%. Small and mid-cap stocks continue to look better technically than US large cap. The Russell 2000, S&P 600 and S&P 400 (midcap) index E...
Summary In today's issue of the 1-Minute Market Report, I examine the market bounce since the October low, and highlight the areas of the market that are leading the way higher. On Thursday, for every stock that was down, there were 26 that were up. For the first time since August...
Summary The October CPI report was music to the bulls' ears, as it verified much lower than forecast and feared. S&P 500 futures jumped 3.5% and Treasury yields plummeted along with a sharp drop in the U.S. dollar. Mega-cap growth shares stand to benefit from the good news...
Summary The U.S. inflation report is likely to remain the most economic piece of data for markets, for the foreseeable future. Falling inflation eventually will allow central banks to perform the much-discussed pivot, both in terms of the speed of tightening and eventual terminal ...
Summary While broad commodities have outperformed most major asset classes year-to-date,1 the pressure of rising interest rates, a strong U.S. dollar and fears of several large economies tipping into recession have led to a pullback since the summer of 2022. Since we published our...
Summary After rallying 9% off the October 12 bottom, the market pulled back last week but still sits 5.4% above the low point. Commodities are trouncing all other major asset classes on a YTD basis, largely due to the rise in oil, natural gas, and agricultural prices. The newe...
Summary On Friday morning gold stocks rallied hard along with cyclical and inflation sensitive markets (especially those that are commodity related). As often noted, cyclical inflation (implied to be still in effect by Friday's positive U.S. payrolls report) is not fundamentally p...
Summary Fed's Powell remains hawkish on rates, despite dovish overtures in statement. The Fed reiterates its intension that rates will remain high until inflation is cracked. Why rates are going to be higher for longer, even after inflation comes down. Th...
Summary Stocks and bonds have been highly correlated to each other this year. The reintroduction of inflation has created new complications — and opportunities. The current trends around commodities are long-term and global. By Hakan Kaya, PhD A lagg...
Summary The global economy has been hit by several headwinds, almost all of them leading back to higher inflation. Europe is likely already in recession, the U.S. will enter recession in Q2 2023, while China struggles to make recovery headway. Markets have faced up to the reality ...
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...