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Summary Markets often turn well before the economy and we are starting to see Global PMIs stabilize. Like many other indicators, the market's "Pros and Cons" keep investors guessing. Investors are in the "glass half full" mindset. Negatives are placed on the back shelf now. Sent...
Summary The iShares 20+ Year Treasuries Bond ETF rose over 16% since recording a low in October 2022. Conditions suggest that TLT could decline sharply within the next 10 to 60 days. Traders seeking an attractive short-term trading opportunity could consider selling TLT short from $...
Summary DBC is a simple commodity index ETF. The fund is a strong trading vehicle, but subpar long-term investment. With inflation normalizing, and with the prospect of rapidly increasing commodity prices decreasing, the fund does not offer investors a compelling value proposition. ...
Summary In earlier articles, I made recommendations for ETFs and mutual funds that one should consider given the unusual combination of conditions we don't often see. How successful were these recommendations made under very high inflation, the Growth fund collapse, steeply rising Fed f...
Summary The world changed in 2020 with the first modern-day pandemic. Utility-like big tech led the way. The "Black Swan" of 2022 was the invasion of Ukraine that set the stage for inflation and perhaps a recession in 2023. We've experienced economic regime change where only specifi...
Summary December was a mixed month for commodity index strategies overall. Natural gas was the strongest commodity for most index strategies. The precious metals sector was the strongest performing sector in December, rising over 5%. Natural Gas Contributes From Rebalance ...
Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...
Summary In Q4 2022, we projected a broad rally to begin after the midterm elections and lasting well into Q1 2023. The rally would use the post-election pattern, fading inflation signals (and fading Fed hawk angst), and sentiment as its fuel. Today the rally is 100% on course. But t...
Summary In this post, we provide our key assumptions and outlook for 2023. We are relatively more optimistic than most, as we believe that we are already in the mid-late innings of this downturn. We believe that stabilizing interest rates will provide a base for valuations and expec...
Summary I've analyzed static commodity exchange-traded funds before. But now, here's a very interesting commodity ETF with a dynamically changing bias on various commodities. Currently, Direxion Auspice Broad Commodity Strategy ETF has net long exposure to gold, soybeans, sugar, copper,...
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...