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As the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 approach bear market territory, with the Nasdaq already there, investors may be wondering if there are ETFs that can buck the trend. I searched for reputable websites that have given recommendations for specific ETFs, and in a few cases, mutual fund...
Our macroeconomic forecasting team assesses how the war and latest survey data have altered the economic outlook, policymaking and recession risks. Global growth was dragged lower, principally by steep contractions in Russia and mainland China. Barring the initial COVID-19 outbreak, M...
Investment risk can be reduced by a multi-model market timer whose many components use different and uncorrelated financial and economic data, including inflation. This model seeks to determine effective asset allocation for risk-on and risk-off periods for equities considering the ef...
Wages are rising rapidly to try to keep up with the pace of inflation. We think that this is leading us to the early stages of a wage price spiral. During periods of high inflation, traditionally, real assets prosper while traditional assets suffer. So traditional assets typically suf...
Hard and soft commodities have come under pressure amid a deteriorating global growth landscape (remember: no demand = no backlogs/shortages!). Agriculture has fared better than the Industrial Metals index, but these popular trades over recent months are seeing near-term bearish actio...
Just when we thought the world economy was regaining its footing, a military conflict in Europe has led us to reconsider our outlook for growth and inflation. In light of Russia’s invasion, we developed a framework for thinking about the economic impact of the conflict on the e...
Commodity prices are starting to pullback from the highs hit in March and April. If investors start to take profits on the basis that we have seen the highs, it would help bring down the rate of inflation. I continue to think the peak rate is behind us. When that becomes the c...
We slightly reduce risk on a worsening macro outlook. We upgrade European government bonds and investment grade credit, and downgrade Chinese assets. The Fed raised rates by 0.5% last week - the largest increase since 2000 - and signaled similar rises ahead. Long-term yields shot up a...
There was a lot of volatility in stocks last week but in the end, the S&P 500 was down a mere 21 basis points. A rising currency is presumably negative for the export sector and positive for domestic purchasing power. On a sector basis, there were several winners last week wit...
The US Dollar Index notched a very strong April amid turmoil in Europe and Asia. Traditional asset class relationships have bucked trends in 2022. Any pullback in commodities is likely a buying opportunity as the year progresses. For further details see: U.S. Dollar Vs. ...
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...