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We could all be on the cusp of the most deadly inflation the world has ever experienced, due to a unique setup of global forces that have the power to accelerate that into happening in a surprisingly short amount of time. There is an obvious back channel by which inflation from Fed mo...
The year-over-year change in core CPI peaked in March and is coming down, albeit slower than we’d all like to see. The economy is slowing in some areas and inflation is still high but probably peaking. Bond yields are starting to look pretty attractive relative to stock div...
In March, we argued that commodities are likely to turn down as a commodity shock gives way to a growth shock. Deflationary forces are now making themselves felt not only in cyclical leaders like precious metals, but in every single industrial metal. Industrial metals cycles have ...
If you are an investor and sell every time your perception of uncertainty rises, you will avoid risk, but you will also miss opportunities. Our heightened state of awareness about uncertainty has us focused on the negative outcomes, assuming the worst-case scenarios will be realized. ...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Commodity prices have been skyrocketing, fueled by a confluence of factors, including a commodities super-cycle, the post-pandemic recovery, ongoing supply shocks, and geopolitical turmoil. There is one macroeconomic factor that does not appear to be driving commodity prices - Chinese...
Amid the inflation headlines, certain indicators have been cooling with respect to inflation. This can be viewed with relief (a sort of mini Goldilocks) in the short-term. But a continued steepening in the yield curve could morph that relief to deflationary angst later in the year...
AMI strategies use a risk ON/OFF indicator where the main measurement is the momentum over an evaluation period of about 15 weeks. We added a second risk indicator based on a one-week momentum. This indicator generates more false signals and, overall, its performance is worse than tha...
How similar will the next three or five years look from the years that immediately preceded the pandemic? And what are the implications for us as global equity investors? We don’t expect anything like the hyperinflation and stagflation we experienced in the 1970s; our outlook s...
The economic news emanating from Britain and the European Union is continuing to come in weak, as many European countries are expected to slip into a recession this year. While inflation may be ebbing in China and the U.S., inflation is still accelerating in Britain and the rest of Eu...
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...