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This year is shaping up to be historic in terms of real asset performance, according to BofA Securities. In his weekly Flow Show note, strategist Michael Hartnett wrote Friday that in real terms, government bonds ( TBT ) ( TLT ) ( SHY ) are on course for their worst perf...
Data released in June showed that annual headline CPI inflation - previously thought to be cooling - had touched a new 40-year high. Substantial rate hikes are possible as the Fed remains focused on stabilizing prices; however, in the process, a recession may become unavoidable. W...
Commodities (used in the production of goods) are considered a leading indicator of inflation. Recessions are a normal corrective phase of the economic cycle, but politicians, central banks, most financial advisors, and economists never see them coming. Central bank policies can h...
Industrial metals have come under pressure with global recession prospects increasing. The divergence between metals and energy prices indicates further downside to come for energy. Key headwinds for the global economy have been realized through declining demand for metals, now en...
At the beginning of the month, we underestimated how fast agricultural commodities would follow base metals down. Although there are good reasons to buy agriculture ETFs as a hedge against geopolitically induced food inflation, DBA is too underexposed to grain commodities to perform t...
We remain cautious in equities, but in fixed income, investors now have more yield and credit spread to work with. We think that the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes for this cycle are becoming increasingly priced into the yield curve. Our fixed income team has stress-tested fo...
Earnings for the S&P 500, according to Howard Silverblatt’s work at S&P, are expected to rise 7.7% in 2022. Growth stocks were grossly overvalued going into that bear market and they took the brunt of the damage. Real estate did well last week with rates falling bac...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
SPX has seen record negativity (since 2020) last week: Worst back-to-back days, 3 consecutive days of <-1%, 47th day of <2% for the year. At the same time, inflation isn't showing any sign of easing, and the Fed is being forced to hike fast and furious; a 75bps hike this week is...
Despite gradually decreasing its pay-out by almost 79 percent, GGN has recorded an average yield of almost 13 percent over the past 10 years. GGN’s investments are in commodities (gold, mining, energy), which tend to rise alongside inflation, and are considered safer bets durin...
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On Thursday, May 30th, U.S. stock markets closed lower, led by a 1% drop in the Nasdaq and steep declines in tech shares after Salesforce issued a ...
On Wednesday, May 29th, U.S. stock markets closed in red as the U.S. stocks Wednesday amid rising Treasury yields and uncertainty over Federal Rese...
On Tuesday, May 28th, U.S. stock markets closed mixed, with the Nasdaq surpassing 17,000 for the first time, driven by a 7% surge in Nvidia that bo...