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The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...
Commodity prices are plunging as of late. Is this the end of the so-called commodity super-cycle or a buy-the-dip opportunity? In this article, I reason demand for commodities may be stronger than perceived, while supply remains structurally tight. I believe the commodity super-cycle ...
Steep stock market losses are highly correlated with a tandem material drop in banks/brokerages and gold/silver miners. Such a condition is associated with a liquidity crunch, inverted bond yields on the duration curve, and economic recession. Over the last 15 years, only the late...
K2 Advisors team is monitoring economic growth, earnings, supply chains, and inflation for clues as to whether central banks can achieve the elusive soft landing. Central bank policy paths are a clear focal point for markets as policymakers seek to navigate above-target inflation and ...
Many important commodities are in major declines off highs hit earlier in 2022. A still-strong U.S. jobs market and decent wage growth point to massive CPI readings to come. A better-than-expected Advance Retail Sales report might concern the Fed ahead of the FOMC's July 27 meetin...
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF appears to have bottomed after a brutal 7-month downtrend. The Treasury market action indicates the Fed could drive the economy into a recession, and inflation is peaking. Investors can hedge equities and profit from this dynamic by buying lo...
On Wednesday, the Consumer Price Index came in at a 9.1% annual rate. The higher-than-expected reading puts the CPI at a new 41-year high. Businesses are also getting squeezed. On Thursday, the Producer Price Index showed wholesale costs rising at a massive 11.3% year-over-year. T...
The S&P 500 remains above the 3,810 May 20th low print and the June 17th low print of 3,636.87. Crude oil has not made a new high since March ’22, copper has fallen sharply as have many of the grain and other commodity prices. The sentiment is horrible around both stock...
We see a new era of volatile inflation and growth sweeping aside a period of moderation. We downgrade equities and upgrade credit in this new regime. U.S. jobs data last Friday reinforced the supply shock causing persistent inflation. Yields resumed their rise as markets priced higher...
With the Fed voicing its intention of reversing its easing policy and beginning to tighten, it is logical that sooner or later signs of less liquidity would begin to surface. The area of commodity futures is more often based on speculation than anything concrete. It is also highly lev...
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2024-07-18 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-08 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...