Previous 10 | Next 10 |
The stock market in 1921 was in a very different state than the stock market of 2021. Fitch, the ratings agency, is penciling in a 2020 deficit-to-GDP ratio of 18.5%. For 2021, Fitch expects a deficit equal to 11.3%. For further details see: What If The Thing That 'Roars...
Investors appear almost universally to be pricing for an early-cycle mix of low interest rates and ongoing support from both monetary and fiscal policy, combined with the release of pent-up demand from consumers and manufacturers. Short-term stumbling blocks are not confined to the on...
With the exception of broadly defined commodities and US and foreign property shares, global markets posted solid gains last year. US stocks were the top 2020 performers, with the Russell 3000 Index surging 20.9% last year. US REITs saw the deepest loss for the major asset classes...
The price of copper hasn't been this high in more than seven and a half years. Forward-looking approximations made by UBS earlier this month forecast modest supply deficits (taking into account waste and reclaiming scrap) this year and next, very modest surpluses in '22 and '23, follo...
Goldman Sachs came out with a bullish report to investors last week predicting a surge in the price of commodities over the 2021-2025 period. Goldman see the stock market pullback in the face of rising anxiety over the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic as a temporary setback that will l...
The dramatic move in commodities could be due to portfolio rebalancing at the end of the month, or it could be signaling that the recovery is running out of steam. Countries are doing QE to manipulate their currencies and get inflation, but their attempts to reflate their economies ar...
Commodity prices had been rising from March through early September, but this week they turned around and began to fall. The major reason for the reversal seems to be fact that government is not going to pass anymore economic stimulus this year and focus will be directed at Supreme Co...
Can the momentum in the manufacturing sector be sustained, with prices rising further over the near-term? To be sure, the rise in prices highlighted by the four-month rally in our Materials Price Index does indicate the worst of the recession globally is over. But the continuing increase in CO...
During a week of mixed headlines and data releases, markets chose to latch onto strong demand data coming out of China early in the week, with our Materials Price Index (MPI) pushing 1.8% higher. As was the case during the second quarter, gains in the MPI were broad-based, with eight of the in...
Commodity prices, as measured by our Materials Price Index (MPI), rose 0.4% last week supported by small gains in several major commodities groups. In comparison to previous weeks, price moves were lacklustre, a sign that the three-month rally in commodities may be ebbing. Lumber prices stee...