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Summary Income investors seeking to boost yields often find themselves depending on higher-yielding investments such as bank loans, high-yield bonds and dividend-paying equities. The key to an efficient income portfolio is selecting the most impactful building blocks and assemblin...
Summary Stocks are now back down to the lows set in June and sentiment is as negative now as it was then. There is a long list of technical items that have hit levels or rates of change we associate with bottoms, short- or long-term. The economic data last week was mostly abou...
Summary By mid-August, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was at 5%, down sharply from the 6%-range in mid-June. Yesterday, they were at 6.47%. Briefly dropping mortgage rates slowed down the decline in home sales - sales declined again in August from July but at a slower rat...
Summary Housing starts data notwithstanding, here’s why we think the US housing market deterioration will have a downside acceleration following what has been a surge in valuations. Spreads are widening while rates are rising. The results are simple. Housing may be in t...
Summary A global multi-sector approach can deliver much more than just international diversification. If investors are willing to expand their horizons, in our view, they stand a much better chance of meeting their investment goals. No single fixed-income sector can dominate year ...
Summary The housing market is weird. Sales are slowing, and home builders are calling it a recession. US home prices grew at an unprecedented rate during the pandemic when the Fed's QE program aimed to bring mortgage spreads down. Homeowners are less leveraged than they were g...
A simple linear regression shows that changes in mortgage rates have an inverse relationship with changes in new home sales. The correlation between changes in mortgage rates and new home sales isn't as strong as you might think. There's still quite a lot of noise in the underlyin...
Mortgage balances jumped by 9% in Q2 from a year ago, as prices spiked year over year, while people bought far fewer homes. HELOCs’ decline has ended and balances ticked up in Q2 to $319 billion, from the low in the prior quarter. This has occurred as mortgage rates have spiked...
On Thursday the Fed raised rates by another 75bps and reiterated its commitment to Quantitative Tightening. Over the last two months, the balance sheet has fallen by $25B vs. a target of $95B. The upcoming reductions will be too little too late to have any meaningful impact on red...
In the second quarter, we've seen double-digit negative returns across the fixed income landscape. For corporate bonds on the investment-grade side of things, we've seen spreads tick 160. A lot of what's going on right now is just the aftermath of a pandemic that's disrupted the h...
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2024-03-01 04:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-08 15:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-18 00:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...